tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post9028222431066938466..comments2023-07-25T07:12:58.447-05:00Comments on John Deeth Blog: Wednesday ClipsJohnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09749260349116845928noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-29005125557742146142012-09-28T16:07:43.767-05:002012-09-28T16:07:43.767-05:00If you combine Anderson & Carter, they would h...If you combine Anderson & Carter, they would have won some (now) reliably Democratic states (NY, MI, OH, WI,VT, ME, MA, CT & DE) and some southern/border states which have moved away from the Democrats (AR, TN, MS, SC, AL, KY) and one (NC) still a battleground. That brings the Carter/Anderson total to about 240. I think the biggest difference between Anderson and Perot is that Anderson drew votes from people who weren't going to vote for Reagan, but might have voted for a different Democrat (or Carter, under other circumstances) whereas Perot seemed more to draw votes from both parties. <br />Clinton's wins in 1992 & 96 in the South (probably aided by Perot there) seem to be the last gasp of the old Democratic South.<br /><br />Perhaps for Democrats, one of the legacies of Reagan is not to vote for a third-party candidate. And yes, I recognize that Ralph Nader might have cost Al Gore Florida, but only because the race was so close. Nader won far fewer votes than Anderson, and I suspect that many of the Nader voters were unwilling to vote for Gore under any circumstances (even if they preferred Gore to Bush). <br /><br />I think the Anderson phenomena differs from the Perot in that Anderson voters understood that Carter was clearly in trouble and needed their votes and still didn't vote for Carter, despite the specter of Reagan. The Clinton-Perot voters understood that Clinton was ahead and that voting for Perot wasn't likely to cost Clinton the election. The Bush-Perot voters (like Anderson voters) either didn't care or didn't think Bush could win under any circumstances.<br /><br />We do seem to have reached a point where voters are so polarized as to be unwilling to consider a third-party candidate in order perhaps to vote against the candidate they hate. For the next few cycles, I just don't see a third-party candidates on the presidential election, or even on Congressional elections. If Leonard Boswell is pinning his hopes on a third party candidate keeping Latham vote down, he's in real trouble. lebbenhhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03660171938384995795noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-27941911561677969512012-09-20T18:47:44.709-05:002012-09-20T18:47:44.709-05:00Obama is far worse than Carter and the polls are t...Obama is far worse than Carter and the polls are tainted, oversampled with Democrats.<br /><br />Meanwhile, your freedom of speech is being threatened.<br /><br />http://coralvillecourier.typepad.com/community/2012/09/obama-and-hillary-apologize-for-free-speech-on-pakistani-tv-president-obama-fox-nation.htmlSick of Spinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09921740619019430389noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-66826452819975136752012-09-19T23:35:10.167-05:002012-09-19T23:35:10.167-05:00Also, I had the same gut assessment you have about...Also, I had the same gut assessment you have about Johnson taking some lefty votes, but I'm beginning to doubt that. I don't know any Johnson supporters who would otherwise be supporting the Democrats (or Green, or Socialist Worker, etc).<b>Adam B Sullivan</b>https://www.blogger.com/profile/17599919933870310060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-81264717962452019892012-09-19T23:33:11.229-05:002012-09-19T23:33:11.229-05:00It's way too premature to say how Gary Johnson...It's way too premature to say how Gary Johnson (or write-in Ron Paul; lots of my Paulbot friends are saying they'll vote that way) will impact the political or partisan landscape. There's no national presidential election, so Johnson's impact shouldn't be measured by a national number; Even if Johnson never polls above 6 percent, he will spoil states for Romney: http://adambsullivan.com/?p=921<b>Adam B Sullivan</b>https://www.blogger.com/profile/17599919933870310060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-85966023697933627652012-09-19T23:32:17.655-05:002012-09-19T23:32:17.655-05:00It's way too premature to say how Gary Johnson...It's way too premature to say how Gary Johnson (or write-in Ron Paul; lots of my Paulbot friends are saying they'll vote that way) will impact the political or partisan landscape. There's no national presidential election, so Johnson's impact shouldn't be measured by a national number; Even if Johnson never polls above 6 percent, he will spoil states for Romney.<br /><br />http://adambsullivan.com/?p=921<b>Adam B Sullivan</b>https://www.blogger.com/profile/17599919933870310060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-27906688891312283782012-09-19T23:02:42.807-05:002012-09-19T23:02:42.807-05:00As a staunch Conservative, I fully agree that Gary...As a staunch Conservative, I fully agree that Gary Johnson takes from Romney 2 to 1 over Obama.Justin Arnold_The Conservative Reader.comhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01965749658728213051noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4061483.post-4911783045427249592012-09-19T23:02:11.742-05:002012-09-19T23:02:11.742-05:00As a staunch Conservative, I fully agree that Gary...As a staunch Conservative, I fully agree that Gary Johnson takes from Romney 2 to 1 over Obama.Justin Arnold_The Conservative Reader.comhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01965749658728213051noreply@blogger.com