Tuesday, January 17, 2006

QC Times looks at GOP race

QC Times looks at GOP race

I've looked more at the Democratic side, but the QC Times has a pretty darn good look at the Republican race. I don't think Vander Plaats has a prayer, but neither does anyone else. So the expectationd for Nussle are sky high - and anything short of an overwhelming win will hurt him just as bad as it hurt Greg Ganske in `02.

Ganske got held to about 55% by out of nowhere "conservative activist" Bill Salier who had nothing but organization - the entire power wstructure of the party was with Ganske. And after Ganske almost got taken out in the freakin' PRIMARY, the serious national money went elsewhere.

Another lesson that's applicable to both parties: in the `02 governor's race the GOP never really reunited. Gross barely avoided a convention; he was at 35.6% in a three way race! Sukup, in third place, was over 30. It was essentially a three way dead heat with 2/3 of primary voters against Gross.

Several of the names I've just dropped are in the QC Times article.




Slow day of posting while I recuperate (and, not to mention, squeeze in a workday.) We organized our caucus materials tonight. Tomorrow I start trying to assemble a delegate list and a central committee list. It looks like a few more precincts split into preference groups than the mere two I reported last night - maybe more like a half dozen. But still, the overwhelming majority did not declare preference in Johnson County.

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