Sunday, September 18, 2005

Generic Congressional Ballot looks good for Dems

Generic Congressional Ballot looks good for Dems

I've never been much of a believer in the generic Congressional ballot as a measure of success. The dynamic of support for My Local Guy Who's Not Like The Rest Of Them usually wins out, and the fine art of gerrymandering means a lot of Democratic votes get wasted in too-safe GOP districts. But this is heartening:

"Only 3% of Democrats, whether they are liberal, moderate or conservative Democrats, plan to vote for a Republican in congressional elections 2006. "


If this comes true in 2006 in Iowa 2, where Jim Leach more often gets 20 to 25 percent of the Democratic vote, then David Loebsack has it won.

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