Kos looks at the schedule. But he disputes my earlier judgement that Nevada will be a popular destination for the press corps:
There is another possibility -- that everyone except for Edwards and Richardson ignores Nevada to focus on New Hampshire. The political press, which is East Coast-based, won't want to travel to Nevada when New Hampshire, and its wealth of candidates, is just a short flight away.
Without the tradition of Iowa, New Hampshire, or evern South Carolina, Nevada may simply be a casualty of indifference, with its results equally discarded.
Standing by my analysis: Flight time is a minor thing compared to the attractiveness of Vegas as a destination.
Kos ALSO assumes that New Hampshire will play by the rules. Here's his projected calendar:
Iowa (caucus): 1/14
Nevada (caucus): 1/19
NH (primary): 1/22
SC (primary): 1/29
Here's mine:
NH (unauthorized primary): 1/8
Iowa (caucus): 1/14
Nevada (caucus): 1/19
SC (primary): 1/29
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