Thursday, December 28, 2006

American Research Iowa Poll

American Research Iowa Poll

On Edwards Announcement Day here's numbers.

Clinton 31%
Edwards 20%
Vilsack 17%
Obama 10%
Undecided 8%
Kucinich 5%
Biden 2%
Dodd 2%
Kerry 2%
Clark 1%
Gravel 1%
Richardson 1%


Big surprise here is an uptick for the governor and a downtick for Obama. Question wording? Fluke? Looking closer Vilsack wins among independents, which I think means less likely caucus goers.

Kerry is below Kucinich. People were for him before they were against him.

Wes Clark, one of the netroots darlings, is nowhere. Residual grudge for the Screw Iowa strategy? Or do people even care about that?

On the GOP side, it's Giuliani 28%, McCain 26%, Gingrich 18%. The surprise here is Newt doing so well; looks like he has some residual support from Contract On America days. He may be one to watch. Romney is nowhere at 6%, way behind undecided.

Numbers from other early states too. Vilsack the stalking horse is invisible in all the rest.

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