Saturday, August 13, 2011

Notes from the Non-Credentialed 2

Notes from the Non-Credentialed 2

Voting's been done 45 minutes, still on standby.

At 4:53 we hear 17,000 votes. So how long wil the write ins take? Chuck Todd tays there's "lots."

Steve King again does the Yay Caucuses bit, and there's a hint he's none to pleased with the Platypus for stepping on the straw poll. Grassley talks, my big takeaway is he told Mitt he needs to get out here.

Hearing a "soon" on results, though not an official Five Minute Warning, at 5:33.

OK, show time at 5:41.4823/

16,892, votes. Winner = Bachmann. And that's all we get. I thought they were counting down, So THAT's how they dealt with the write ins.

5:47 we get the numbers. Paul damn near tied. TPaw distrant third.

Bachmann 4823 28.7%
Paul 4671 27.8
Pawlenty 2293 13.7
Santorum 1657 9.9
Cain 1456 8.7
Romney 567 3.3
Gingrich 385 2.3
Huntsman 69 0.4
McCotter 35 0.2

That leaves 936 total write ins

Paul can claim de facto tie (and does)
TPaw at poor third = trouble
Santorum can survive 4th
Cain is finished
Write in total = even if all for Perry, not a big win
Mitt and Huntsman = Iowa Republicans punish those who don't play.
Newt and McCotter are on their own trips so won't quit. But McCotter joins Roemer and Gary Johnson as officially fringe. McCotter bails sometime close to Michigan filing deadline for re-election.

Now they say Perry 718 write ins and that I had the total vote right the first time. Not gonna recalculate the percentages, they don't change much....

That also means only about 200 other write ins. How did they count Parry?

OK, here's the latest at 6:10

1. Congresswoman Michele Bachmann (4823, 28.55%)
2. Congressman Ron Paul (4671, 27.65%)
3. Governor Tim Pawlenty (2293, 13.57%)
4. Senator Rick Santorum (1657, 9.81%)
5. Herman Cain(1456, 8.62%)
6. Governor Rick Perry (718, 3.62%) write-in
7. Governor Mitt Romney (567, 3.36%)
8. Speaker Newt Gingrich (385, 2.28%)
9. Governor Jon Huntsman (69, 0.41%)
10. Congressman Thad McCotter (35, 0.21%)
Scattering (162, 0.96 %) Includes all those receiving votes at less than one-percent that were not on the ballot.

So they're not releasing anything else? Palin under 1% at best...

Chuck Todd with Santorum. Rick claiming third "of those who could win Iowa," continuing the debate feud with Ron Paul. Chuck asks him if he's getting into the PA Senate race.

Funny to see Wasserman Schultz here in Iowa, considering how much of a caucus bashing, Florida leapfrog lover she was in 2008. And still is; Chuck says Dems need something like Ames and DWS makes sure to say it should be in Florida.

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