Craig Robinson at TheIowaRepublican reminds Mitt Romney that there is an Iowa outside the Des Moines beltway. I remind my non-Iowa readers that Des Moines does in fact have a beltway of sorts.
Team GOP wants to portray Obama as the Jimmy Carter of the 21st century but David Frum notes an important difference:
1980 was a three-way race. Reagan won a landslide of the electoral vote, but less than 51% of the popular vote. President Carter's support collapsed in the last weeks of the campaign, with dissident liberals breaking off to support the independent candidacy of John Anderson, who scored 6.6% of the vote - the fourth best performance by an independent since World War II, after Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996 -- and George Wallace in 1968.I've always thought the Anderson campaign played an underrated role in the history of realignment. George Wallace played a huge role as an exit ramp for conservative white southerners exiting the Democratic Party, but Anderson was a similar transitional vote for liberal northeastern Republicans moving to the Democrats.
If Anderson had not run - if Carter had not so alienated his liberal base - what would have happened in November?
And no, Paulbots, Gary Johnson is NOT the same thing. For one thing, I'm gut-level convinced that Libertarians draw two votes from small government coservatives for every one vote they get from pro-peace or pro-weed lefties.
More importantly: At this point in 1980 Anderson was polling 15%. He was even in a debate (one on one with Reagan since Carter refused to "debate two Republicans"). That dropped to seven by election day, but it likely cost Carter several states and contributed to the perception of a "landslide" for Reagan.
As for Frum's main point, liberal alienation from Carter, I don't see that with Obama.
One group that definitely IS alienated from Obama is the white South, but NPR looks at a few brave souls fighting the uphill fight for a blue South.