Senate District 9
Registration: D 10329, R 14833, N 12834, total 38016, R +4504
Incumbent: Nancy Boettger, R-Harlan, holdover seat
Any
excitement we might have seen here ended with the retirement of James
Seymour, the other GOP incumbent in this paired-up seat. Boettger holds
over till `14 in a district that's more Seymour's than hers. She last
saw an opponent in 2002.
House District 17
Registration: D 5380, R 7487, N 6816, total 19693, R +2107
Incumbent: Matt Windschitl, R-Missouri Valley, unopposed
Windschitl
gets a lot of different turf but gains a few hundred Republicans. He
won the seat by knocking off Paul Wilderdyke in a 2006 primary challenge
from the right, and last saw a Democratic opponent in 2008.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Win With Windschitl
House District 18
Registration: D 4949, R 7346, N 6018, total 18323, R +2397
Incumbent: Jason Schultz, R-Schleswig
UPDATE: Friedrichsen announced August 21 she has taken a new job and is ending her candidacy, but will remain on the ballot. Before that happened, this is what I said:
This one's interesting: it's an uphill fight for a Democrat, but Schultz has never had a general election opponent. He
won the seat in a contested 2008 primary, where he was seen as the more
conservative candidate. (Incumbent Clarence Hoffman had been squeezed
out by Iowans For Tax Relief.) The district is centered on Denison and
western Crawford County. It used to go north into Ida, now it goes south
and gets all of Shelby County. The line changes cost Schultz about 300
Republicans.
Democrat Kasey Friedrichsen, who was laid off from a
Workforce office closed by Branstad budget cuts, looks like a good
candidate in a bad district. She easily defeated her primary opponent,
Dunlap Mayor Bernard Murphy, 80-20%.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Friends of Jason Schultz, Friedrichsen for State Representative The incumbent has the edge with $9,166.60 on hand; Friedrichsen has $4,738.35.
Senate District 9, House District 17 & 18: District of the Day 1 - 5/05/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/16/2012
The worst.
Showing posts with label Jason Schultz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jason Schultz. Show all posts
Friday, August 17, 2012
Friday, March 16, 2012
District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 9, Iowa House District 17 & 18
Senate District 9
Registration: D 11168, R 14770, N 14433, total 40393, R +3602
Incumbent: Nancy Boettger, R-Harlan (James Seymour, R-Woodbine, retiring)
Any excitement we might have seen here ended with Seymour's retirement, and Boettger holds over till `14. She owns a family farm based bed and breakfast and immediately after Map Day said she wasn't moving, even though the new district is more Seymour's than hers. She keeps only her home county, Shelby, and pick up Harrison, Monona, Ida, and most of Crawford from Seymour plus some leftover rural bits of east Woodbury. Harrison County was in Boettger's first district when she was elected in 1994. She last saw an opponent in 2002.
Campaign finance report: Nancy Boettger for State Senate Committee
The district's two House members aren't paired, and don't have to move, but both will need to get to know some new constituents.
House District 17
Registration: D 5722, R 7797, N 7353, total 20885, R +2075
Incumbent: Matt Windschitl, R-Missouri Valley
The Legislature's leading Gun Guy won the seat by knocking off Paul Wilderdyke in a 2006 primary challenge from the right. He easily shot down (heh) a couple Democratic challenges, then went unopposed in 2010. So far he's unopposed this year as well.
Windschitl gets a lot of different turf but gains a few hundred Republicans. The old seat had all of Harrison County, most of Monona, and a little of rural north Pottawattamie. This map, he loses all of PottCo and eastern Harrison, but gets all of Monona and Ida, along with bits of rural Woodbury. The net effect is a gain of maybe 600 Republicans.
Campaign finance reports: Win with Windschitl
House District 18
Registration: D 5446, R 6973, N 7080, total 19508, R +1527
Incumbent: Jason Schultz, R-Schleswig; contested Democratic primary
Call this one a sleeper race: Democrats gave Schultz a bye in 2008 and 2010,so there's no general election track record. But this cycle two Democrats have jumped in, so this will be his first general election test.
Schultz won the seat in a contested 2008 primary, where he was seen as the more conservative candidate. (Incumbent Clarence Hoffman had been squeezed out by Iowans For Tax Relief.) The district is centered on Denison and western Crawford County. It used to go north into Ida, now it goes south and gets all of Shelby County. The line changes cost Schultz about 300 Republicans.
Democrat Kasey Friedrichsen offers a symbolically powerful argument against Team Branstad 5.0:
Campaign finance reports: Friends of Jason Schultz, Friedrichsen for State Representative
Original post 5/05/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
Registration: D 11168, R 14770, N 14433, total 40393, R +3602
Incumbent: Nancy Boettger, R-Harlan (James Seymour, R-Woodbine, retiring)
Any excitement we might have seen here ended with Seymour's retirement, and Boettger holds over till `14. She owns a family farm based bed and breakfast and immediately after Map Day said she wasn't moving, even though the new district is more Seymour's than hers. She keeps only her home county, Shelby, and pick up Harrison, Monona, Ida, and most of Crawford from Seymour plus some leftover rural bits of east Woodbury. Harrison County was in Boettger's first district when she was elected in 1994. She last saw an opponent in 2002.
Campaign finance report: Nancy Boettger for State Senate Committee
The district's two House members aren't paired, and don't have to move, but both will need to get to know some new constituents.
House District 17
Registration: D 5722, R 7797, N 7353, total 20885, R +2075
Incumbent: Matt Windschitl, R-Missouri Valley
The Legislature's leading Gun Guy won the seat by knocking off Paul Wilderdyke in a 2006 primary challenge from the right. He easily shot down (heh) a couple Democratic challenges, then went unopposed in 2010. So far he's unopposed this year as well.
Windschitl gets a lot of different turf but gains a few hundred Republicans. The old seat had all of Harrison County, most of Monona, and a little of rural north Pottawattamie. This map, he loses all of PottCo and eastern Harrison, but gets all of Monona and Ida, along with bits of rural Woodbury. The net effect is a gain of maybe 600 Republicans.
Campaign finance reports: Win with Windschitl
House District 18
Registration: D 5446, R 6973, N 7080, total 19508, R +1527
Incumbent: Jason Schultz, R-Schleswig; contested Democratic primary
Call this one a sleeper race: Democrats gave Schultz a bye in 2008 and 2010,so there's no general election track record. But this cycle two Democrats have jumped in, so this will be his first general election test.
Schultz won the seat in a contested 2008 primary, where he was seen as the more conservative candidate. (Incumbent Clarence Hoffman had been squeezed out by Iowans For Tax Relief.) The district is centered on Denison and western Crawford County. It used to go north into Ida, now it goes south and gets all of Shelby County. The line changes cost Schultz about 300 Republicans.
Democrat Kasey Friedrichsen offers a symbolically powerful argument against Team Branstad 5.0:
Friedrichsen, 24, worked at an the Denison unemployment office until the office was one of 36 that closed after Gov. Terry Branstad vetoed a legislative allocation to keep the offices open. Schultz, R-Schleswig, voted for a budget to keep the unemployment office but later declined to challenge the governor’s veto.Friedrichsen also has a background dating back to high-school on anti-smoking issues (frankly, not my favorite "progressive" cause). The other Democrat, Dunlap Mayor Bernard Murphy, joined the race in December.
Campaign finance reports: Friends of Jason Schultz, Friedrichsen for State Representative
Original post 5/05/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Democrat Friedrichsen announces in House 18
Democrat Friedrichsen announces in House 18
Jason Schultz will get his first-ever Democratic opponent next year: "Denison native Kasey Friedrichsen announced today that she will run for state representative in District 18, which includes Shelby County and parts of Crawford and Harrison Counties."
Friedrichsen offers a symbolically powerful argument against Team Branstad 5.0:
Friedrichsen also has a background dating back to high-school on anti-smoking issues (frankly, not my favorite "progressive" cause).
Schultz won his first term as the more conservative contender in a contested 2008 primary, after incumbent Clarence Hoffman was persuaded to retire by Iowans For Tax Relief. Democrats didn't run that cycle or in 2010, so this will be his first general election test. The new turf has a GOP registration edge of about 1300, which is chaallenging but not insurmountable.
Jason Schultz will get his first-ever Democratic opponent next year: "Denison native Kasey Friedrichsen announced today that she will run for state representative in District 18, which includes Shelby County and parts of Crawford and Harrison Counties."
Friedrichsen offers a symbolically powerful argument against Team Branstad 5.0:
Friedrichsen, 24, worked at an the Denison unemployment office until last month when the office was one of 36 that closed after Gov. Terry Branstad vetoed a legislative allocation to keep the offices open.
Schultz, R-Schleswig, voted for a budget to keep the unemployment office but later declined to challenge the governor’s veto.
Friedrichsen also has a background dating back to high-school on anti-smoking issues (frankly, not my favorite "progressive" cause).
Schultz won his first term as the more conservative contender in a contested 2008 primary, after incumbent Clarence Hoffman was persuaded to retire by Iowans For Tax Relief. Democrats didn't run that cycle or in 2010, so this will be his first general election test. The new turf has a GOP registration edge of about 1300, which is chaallenging but not insurmountable.
Thursday, May 05, 2011
District of the Day: Senate District 9, House District 17 and 18
District of the Day: Senate District 9, House District 17 and 18Senate District 9
Registration: D 11268, R 14356, N 13689, total 39330, R+ 3088
Incumbents: Nancy Boettger, R-Harlan and
Boettger has had uneventful contests since she was first elected in 1994, with no opposition at all in 2006 and 2010 in old district 29.
Seymour has had a, well, more interesting history. His old seat, Senate 28, was empty in 2002 so it had a two year race; he won with 49 percent in a three-corner contest. Anyone know the deal there? He's been unopposed since, which was really lucky in 2008, when late in the cycle news surfaced of a 2002 arrest for soliciting prostitution. One of the reasons a party needs a candidate in every district; write-ins got 11%.
Enough of the dirt. Let's look at the lines. The new turf is mostly Seymour's: Harrison, Monona, Ida, most of Crawford, and some leftover rural bits of east Woodbury (which shift a little). It loses some bits of rural Pottawattamie and adds Boettger's home county, Shelby, and nothing else from her current district, though she had Harrison back in the 1990s. Boettger's 2000s district ran south and east into Audubon, Guthrie, Cass and Adair.
Guthrie and Adair are placed with much of Dallas County in an open, Republican friendly district 10. But Boettger lives on a family farm with a bed and breakfast, and has firmly said from Map Day on that she's not moving.
Neither Boettger or Seymour have had a contested test with the voters in ten years. Boettger's likely betting that, if it comes to it, she could take him in a primary on his turf. As for my bet, it's for a retirement, quiet or with party pressure, from Seymour. Boettger would then hold over till 2014.
The district's two House members aren't paired, and don't have to move, but both will need to get to know some new constituents.
House District 17
Registration: D 5778, R 7536, N 6958, total 20283, R+ 1758
Incumbent: Matt Windschitl, R-Missouri Valley
The Legislature's leading advocate for a gun hidden in every pocket, Windschitl won the seat by knocking off Paul Wilderdyke in a 2006 primary challenge from the right. He easily shot down (heh) a couple Democratic challenges, then went unopposed in 2010.
Windschitl gets a lot of different turf but gains a few hundred Republicans. The old seat had all of Harrison County, most of Monona, and a little of rural north Pottawattamie. This map, he loses all of PottCo and eastern Harrison, but gets all of Monona. He also picks up parts of rural Woodbury and all of Ida, and about 600 Republicans, from the guy in our next district...
House District 18
Registration: D 5490, R 6820, N 6731, total 19047, R+ 1330
Incumbent: Jason Schultz, R-Schleswig
Schultz won the seat in a contested 2008 primary, where he was seen as the more conservative candidate. (Incumbent Clarence Hoffman had been squeezed out by Iowas For Tax Relief.) Democrats have not bothered to oppose Schultz either term. The district is centered on Denison and western Crawford County. It used to go north into Ida, now it goes south and gets all of Shelby County. The line changes cost Schultz about 300 Republicans.
New Map | New Map (Insets) | Old Map
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