Senate District 29
Registration: D 16246, R 10692, N 17662, total 44627, D +5554
Incumbent: Tod Bowman, R-Maquoketa; holdover seat (Tom Hancock, D-Epworth, retiring)
Basically, Tod Bowman got drawn into Tom Hancock's district. Geographically, old Senate 13 was dominated by Jackson County, but the population center was Clinton. Bowman was the ONLY Democratic open seat winner of the cycle, holding the seat for the party after Roger Stewart retired. But it was a tough hold; after getting labor's support in winning his four-way primary with a clear majority, Bowman only prevailed by 70 votes in November. He won his margin in his own Jackson County, and lost the Clinton County part of the district to Republican Andrew Naeve.
Bowman has two years to get to know rural Dubuque county; the solid Democratic edge should keep him safe thereafter.
Campaign finance report: Friends of Tod Bowman
Despite the strong Democratic edge of this Senate seat, the two House seats are Republican held, and both are must-wins if Democrats hope to take the House back.
House District 57
Registration: D 7707, R 5822, N 8315, total 21859, D +1885
Open seat; Steve Lukan, R-New Vienna, retiring
Is this heaven? Not for Lukan, who got screwed bad with this map and called it a day. He's in his mid-30s and spent a decade in the legislature; we may hear from him again. As for his party, the GOP failed to recruit a candidate by the primary deadline.
Democrats were ready the day after Lukan stepped down, with Nancy Dunkel of Dyersville, an Iowa Women’s Hall of Fame recipient and the first chairwoman of the Iowa Bankers Association.
The easy way to describe this seat is: all of Dubuque County outside the city limits. That's not exact but close enough. It sheds Manchester and southern Delaware.
House District 58
Registration: D 8539, R 4870, N 9347, total 22768, D +3669
Incumbents: Brian Moore, R-Zwingle
Some Dude gets elected sometimes, and Moore gets my vote for 2010 House Upset Of The Year. In June he had lost the primary for old Senate 13. The Democratic primary. A month later the GOP talked him into switching parties and getting into the house race against Tom Schueller, who had been an unopposed winner in 2008. In a race that was on almost no one's radar, Moore rode the wave for a 138 vote shock win.
Schueller is seeking a comeback. That, plus the party margin, puts this near the top of the Democrats' target list; this is the most Democratic seat held by a Republican. Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County.
Brian Moore for State Representative had $2650 cash on hand on the January 19 campaign finance report, while Citizens for Schueller had nearly twice that, $5153.
The only good news for Moore is that he's not the guy who had to move. Moore and Monticello Republican Lee Hein got paired up, but it was a My District Just Not My House thing for Hein, who moved back into House 96.
Original post 6/02/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
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