Senate District 29
Registration: D 15249, R 10312, N 16344, total 41935, D +4937
Incumbent: Tod Bowman, R-Maquoketa; holdover seat
The Democrats have already picked up one House seat in this area, and are likely to claim the other.
Paired-up Senate 29 was the linchpin to a whole lot of moving and shuffling in eastern Iowa. After several months of
waiting, the announcements came fast: Tom Hancock would retire and Tod
Bowman would hold over. Bowman was the ONLY Democratic open seat winner
of the cycle, holding the Clinton based seat for the party after Roger
Stewart retired. But he only prevailed by 70 votes in November. He won
his margin in his own Jackson County, and lost the Clinton County part
of the district to Republican Andrew Naeve.
Bowman has two years to get to know rural Dubuque county; the solid Democratic edge should keep him safe thereafter.
House District 57
Registration: D 7289, R 5653, N 7830, total 20789, D +1636
Open seat; Steve Lukan, R-New Vienna, retiring. Uncontested.
Talk
about clearing the field. Technically this is a Republican held seat.
But after Lukan retired to take a job as Terry Branstad's drug czar,
Democrat Nancy Dunkel of Dyersville was such a prohibitive favorite that no one else filed. Dunkel will take office in January with no primary or general election opposition. She's an Iowa Women’s Hall of Fame recipient and the first chairwoman of the Iowa Bankers Association.
The
seat is almost all of Dubuque County outside the city limits. It sheds
Manchester and southern Delaware County, where Lukan had found his
winning margins for a decade.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Friends of Nancy Dunkel
House District 58
Registration: D 7960, R 4659, N 8514, total 21146, D +3301
Incumbents: Brian Moore, R-Zwingle
This... is going to be tough. Where do I start? Moore gets the number 18 most Democratic district--the most Democratic seat held by a Republican. He loses the
northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque areas where he got his 138
vote winning margin last time. He got paired up with another Republican,
and Lee Hein claimed the more GOP district to the west. And he has a
rematch with the gut he upset last time, Democrat Tom Schueller.
Moore was living proof in 2010 that Some Dude gets elected sometimes. In June he had lost the primary for old Senate 13. The Democratic
primary. A month later the GOP talked him into switching parties and
getting into the house race against Schueller, who had been an unopposed
winner in 2008.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: CITIZENS FOR SCHUELLER, Brian Moore for State Representative Despite the uphill fight, Moore has taken in some cash and has $6,001.22 on hand. Schueller has $10,121.97 ready to spend.
Senate District 29, House District 57 & 58: District of the Day 1 - 6/02/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/16/2012
The worst.
Showing posts with label Tom Schueller. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tom Schueller. Show all posts
Saturday, August 18, 2012
Friday, March 16, 2012
District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 29, Iowa House District 57 & 58
Senate District 29
Registration: D 16246, R 10692, N 17662, total 44627, D +5554
Incumbent: Tod Bowman, R-Maquoketa; holdover seat (Tom Hancock, D-Epworth, retiring)
Basically, Tod Bowman got drawn into Tom Hancock's district. Geographically, old Senate 13 was dominated by Jackson County, but the population center was Clinton. Bowman was the ONLY Democratic open seat winner of the cycle, holding the seat for the party after Roger Stewart retired. But it was a tough hold; after getting labor's support in winning his four-way primary with a clear majority, Bowman only prevailed by 70 votes in November. He won his margin in his own Jackson County, and lost the Clinton County part of the district to Republican Andrew Naeve.
Bowman has two years to get to know rural Dubuque county; the solid Democratic edge should keep him safe thereafter.
Campaign finance report: Friends of Tod Bowman
Despite the strong Democratic edge of this Senate seat, the two House seats are Republican held, and both are must-wins if Democrats hope to take the House back.
House District 57
Registration: D 7707, R 5822, N 8315, total 21859, D +1885
Open seat; Steve Lukan, R-New Vienna, retiring
Is this heaven? Not for Lukan, who got screwed bad with this map and called it a day. He's in his mid-30s and spent a decade in the legislature; we may hear from him again. As for his party, the GOP failed to recruit a candidate by the primary deadline.
Democrats were ready the day after Lukan stepped down, with Nancy Dunkel of Dyersville, an Iowa Women’s Hall of Fame recipient and the first chairwoman of the Iowa Bankers Association.
The easy way to describe this seat is: all of Dubuque County outside the city limits. That's not exact but close enough. It sheds Manchester and southern Delaware.
House District 58
Registration: D 8539, R 4870, N 9347, total 22768, D +3669
Incumbents: Brian Moore, R-Zwingle
Some Dude gets elected sometimes, and Moore gets my vote for 2010 House Upset Of The Year. In June he had lost the primary for old Senate 13. The Democratic primary. A month later the GOP talked him into switching parties and getting into the house race against Tom Schueller, who had been an unopposed winner in 2008. In a race that was on almost no one's radar, Moore rode the wave for a 138 vote shock win.
Schueller is seeking a comeback. That, plus the party margin, puts this near the top of the Democrats' target list; this is the most Democratic seat held by a Republican. Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County.
Brian Moore for State Representative had $2650 cash on hand on the January 19 campaign finance report, while Citizens for Schueller had nearly twice that, $5153.
The only good news for Moore is that he's not the guy who had to move. Moore and Monticello Republican Lee Hein got paired up, but it was a My District Just Not My House thing for Hein, who moved back into House 96.
Original post 6/02/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
Registration: D 16246, R 10692, N 17662, total 44627, D +5554
Incumbent: Tod Bowman, R-Maquoketa; holdover seat (Tom Hancock, D-Epworth, retiring)
Basically, Tod Bowman got drawn into Tom Hancock's district. Geographically, old Senate 13 was dominated by Jackson County, but the population center was Clinton. Bowman was the ONLY Democratic open seat winner of the cycle, holding the seat for the party after Roger Stewart retired. But it was a tough hold; after getting labor's support in winning his four-way primary with a clear majority, Bowman only prevailed by 70 votes in November. He won his margin in his own Jackson County, and lost the Clinton County part of the district to Republican Andrew Naeve.
Bowman has two years to get to know rural Dubuque county; the solid Democratic edge should keep him safe thereafter.
Campaign finance report: Friends of Tod Bowman
Despite the strong Democratic edge of this Senate seat, the two House seats are Republican held, and both are must-wins if Democrats hope to take the House back.
House District 57
Registration: D 7707, R 5822, N 8315, total 21859, D +1885
Open seat; Steve Lukan, R-New Vienna, retiring
Is this heaven? Not for Lukan, who got screwed bad with this map and called it a day. He's in his mid-30s and spent a decade in the legislature; we may hear from him again. As for his party, the GOP failed to recruit a candidate by the primary deadline.
Democrats were ready the day after Lukan stepped down, with Nancy Dunkel of Dyersville, an Iowa Women’s Hall of Fame recipient and the first chairwoman of the Iowa Bankers Association.
The easy way to describe this seat is: all of Dubuque County outside the city limits. That's not exact but close enough. It sheds Manchester and southern Delaware.
House District 58
Registration: D 8539, R 4870, N 9347, total 22768, D +3669
Incumbents: Brian Moore, R-Zwingle
Some Dude gets elected sometimes, and Moore gets my vote for 2010 House Upset Of The Year. In June he had lost the primary for old Senate 13. The Democratic primary. A month later the GOP talked him into switching parties and getting into the house race against Tom Schueller, who had been an unopposed winner in 2008. In a race that was on almost no one's radar, Moore rode the wave for a 138 vote shock win.
Schueller is seeking a comeback. That, plus the party margin, puts this near the top of the Democrats' target list; this is the most Democratic seat held by a Republican. Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County.
Brian Moore for State Representative had $2650 cash on hand on the January 19 campaign finance report, while Citizens for Schueller had nearly twice that, $5153.
The only good news for Moore is that he's not the guy who had to move. Moore and Monticello Republican Lee Hein got paired up, but it was a My District Just Not My House thing for Hein, who moved back into House 96.
Original post 6/02/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
Sunday, November 27, 2011
One more term - or one Moore term?
Redistricting victim and nominee for 2010 Fluke Of The Year Brian "Some Dude" Moore, R-Zwingle, has announced for re-election (Dubuque Telegraph-Herald is pay-walled) in House District 58.
Moore, through odd circumstances, won the most Democratic seat held by a Republican, and while the turf changes a lot here the margin stays about the same at an April Democratic reg edge of 4102. In fact, the area was so Democratic that Moore started 2010 as a Dem himself, losing a Senate primary to Tod Bowman.
The GOP talked him into switching parties and getting into the house race against Tom Schueller, who had been an unopposed winner in 2008. Moore came out of nowhere to win by 138 votes. Schueller has announced a comeback bid.
Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County. The only good thing for Moore is that he's not the guy who had to move. Moore and Monticello Republican Lee Hein got paired up, but in June Hein announced a move to House 96.
With higher presidential year turnout and a former incumbent as a candidate, I'd put this neat the tom of the Democratic target list. Brian may want one more term, but he may get just one Moore term.
Moore, through odd circumstances, won the most Democratic seat held by a Republican, and while the turf changes a lot here the margin stays about the same at an April Democratic reg edge of 4102. In fact, the area was so Democratic that Moore started 2010 as a Dem himself, losing a Senate primary to Tod Bowman.
The GOP talked him into switching parties and getting into the house race against Tom Schueller, who had been an unopposed winner in 2008. Moore came out of nowhere to win by 138 votes. Schueller has announced a comeback bid.
Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County. The only good thing for Moore is that he's not the guy who had to move. Moore and Monticello Republican Lee Hein got paired up, but in June Hein announced a move to House 96.
With higher presidential year turnout and a former incumbent as a candidate, I'd put this neat the tom of the Democratic target list. Brian may want one more term, but he may get just one Moore term.
Thursday, November 10, 2011
Schueller To Try Comeback
Democrat Tom Schueller, one of 2010's unlikeliest victims, is on the comeback trail, seeking to regain the House District 58 legislative seat he lost last year to Brian Moore.
Schueller was unopposed in 2008, and looked to be unopposed again in 2010. But after losing a Democratic Senate primary to Tod Bowman, Moore switched parties, filed against Schueller, and rode the wave for a 138 vote shock win.
This was a pair-up on Map Day, but Republican freshman Lee Hein is moving to House 95 in a My District Just Not My Farm situation.
The old district was the most Democratic seat held by a Republican, with about the same 4000ish Democratic registration margin. But Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County. It's a must-win for Democrats, and a tough hold for the GOP.
Bleeding Heartland is looking to steal my District Of The Day crown and has a good look at open House District 28. Republican Rich Arnold is retiring and desmoinesdem, who earlier caught the candidacy of Democrat Megan Day Suhr, also sees that Republican Greg Heartsill, a "homeschool(er) with nine children," is in.
desmoinesdem notes:
Schueller was unopposed in 2008, and looked to be unopposed again in 2010. But after losing a Democratic Senate primary to Tod Bowman, Moore switched parties, filed against Schueller, and rode the wave for a 138 vote shock win.
This was a pair-up on Map Day, but Republican freshman Lee Hein is moving to House 95 in a My District Just Not My Farm situation.
The old district was the most Democratic seat held by a Republican, with about the same 4000ish Democratic registration margin. But Moore, who lives right on the edge of the new turf, loses the pieces of northern Clinton County and southern Dubuque where he got his winning margin (Schueller won Jackson County by about 250) and instead gets eastern Jones County. It's a must-win for Democrats, and a tough hold for the GOP.
Bleeding Heartland is looking to steal my District Of The Day crown and has a good look at open House District 28. Republican Rich Arnold is retiring and desmoinesdem, who earlier caught the candidacy of Democrat Megan Day Suhr, also sees that Republican Greg Heartsill, a "homeschool(er) with nine children," is in.
desmoinesdem notes:
Iowa House Democrats did not appear to be represented at the (Suhr kickoff) event, nor did I receive a press release about Suhr from the House Democrats. In contrast, the House Democrats publicized campaign announcements by Joe Riding in district 30, Rich Olive in district 48, Bill Heckroth in district 63, Art Staed in district 66, Daniel Lundby in district 68, Rachel Bly in district 76, Joe Judge in district 80, Sara Sedlacek in district 88, and Frank Wood in district 92.And, as I write, the Schueller release from the House Dems hits my inbox. Suhr seems serious, but lists her profession as "doula," which loosely translates as midwife. My guess is that "doula" sounds kind of, how do I say this, Fairfield in Knoxville. Home birth vs. home school: House 28 sounds like quite the culture clash.
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