Showing posts with label Jeff Smith. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jeff Smith. Show all posts

Friday, August 17, 2012

District Of The Day 3: Iowa Senate District 1, Iowa House District 1 & 2

Senate District 1
Registration: D 9162, R 19442, N 13658, total 42279, R +10280
Incumbent: David Johnson, R-Ocheyedan; holdover seat

The dean of the Legislature, Emmetsburg Democrat Jack Kibbie, was paired up with Johnson on Map Day. Rather than forcing Johnson into an early race for a two year term, in a district that Kibbie himself said was "impossible for any Democrat to win," Kibbie stepped down and Johnson holds over to 2014.

District 1 is five whole counties in the state's northwest corner: Dickinson and Clay, Lyon, Palo Alto and Osceola, in order of population.

House District 1
Registration: D 3424, R 12344, N 5964, total 21741, R +8920
Incumbent: Jeff Smith, R-Okoboji, unopposed

Jeff Smith's old very Republican district becomes a very, VERY Republican district, and that was almost too much of a good thing. The relatively low-key freshman drew a primary challenge from the right by Campaign For Liberty/anti-tax advocate Kevin Wolfswinkel of Sibley (part of the new turf for Smith), but prevailed by a 54-45% margin. That settled things, as no Democrat filed.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Jeff Smith for Iowa House

House District 2
Registration: D 5738, R 7098, N 7694, total 20538, R +1360
No incumbent

This empty seat leans Republican, sure, but it's the most Democratic in all of northwest Iowa (#65 on the Donkey Depth Chart) and thus the only seat in the neighborhood that the Democrats are contesting.  They've recruited a solid candidate in Spencer city council member Steve Bomgaars.

Republicans had  a contested primary. Recent law school grad and ex-Steve King intern Megan Hess of Spencer defeated minister Josh Davenport 54-46%.

The turf is all of Clay and Palo Alto, with the southern third of Dickinson thrown in. Much of this was Smith's. Palo Alto was in Democrat John Wittneben's old district 7.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Committee to Elect Hess, Bomgaars for State Representative Hess raised $10,620 in the reporting period and had $6,124.61 on hand after a contested primary. Bomgaars had $10,143.40 in the bank.

Senate District 1, House District 1 & 2: District of the Day 1 - 4/25/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/16/2012

Friday, March 16, 2012

District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 1, Iowa House District 1 & 2

Senate District 1
Registration: D 9992, R 19370, N 16400, total 45779, R +9378
Incumbent: David Johnson, R-Ocheyedan (Jack Kibbie, D-Emmetsburg retiring) Holdover seat

"It's impossible, I think, for any Democrat to win that district," Jack Kibbie said on Map Day, and so it surprised no one when the Emmetsburg Democrat announced his retirement. While Kibbie has been collecting farewell accolades from his fellow legislators during his final session, Republican David Johnson settles in until the 2014 election.

District 1 is five whole counties in the state's northwest corner: Dickinson and Clay, Lyon, Palo Alto and Osceola, in order of population. (Census trivia: Dickinson and Clay recorded EXACTLY the same population: 16,667.) Johnson keeps Dickinson, his home county Osceola and most of Clay (including the city of Spencer). He loses O'Brien and a sliver of Sioux to Randy Feenstra, and instead gets blood-red Lyon County, which he had in his 1990s House district. He also picks up Kibbie's base, Palo Alto.

Johnson, 60, moved over from the House in 2002 and was comfortable in old Senate District 3; 59% in 2006 and unopposed in 2010.

Campaign finance reports: David Johnson for Senate District 3 (sic)

House District 1
Registration: D 4035, R 11957, N 7379, total 23380, R +7922
Incumbent: Jeff Smith, R-Okoboji; primary challenge

Too much of a good thing? Jeff Smith's old very Republican district becomes a very, VERY Republican district, and that in turn brings him a primary challenge.
Campaign For Liberty/anti-tax advocate Kevin Wolfswinkel of Sibley takes a confrontational stance:
The Republican Party and the citizens of District 1 deserve a leader who will not just give lip service to the priority issues, but will be a leader who will go to Des Moines and fight for them. Pro-life, the restoration of 2nd amendment rights and less government are party pillars, which require uncompromising dedication.
Smith has been a low key freshman, compared to the Pearson-Massie-Shaw krazy kaucus, and Wolfswinkel seems ready to go that route.

Smith's old district 6 was basically Spirit Lake, Okoboji and Spencer. In the new map he keeps almost all of the Iowa Great Lakes population core in the northern two-thirds of Dickinson, then heads west to Osceola and Lyon. The new turf makes up 60 percent of the district, which Wolfswinkel pointedly called "new" District 1 in his announcement.

Smith won an easy primary and had no opposition in the 2010 general to take over old district 6 from fellow Republican Mike May. Jeff Smith for Iowa House had $2723 on hand on January 19; Wolfswinkel had not yet opened a committee.

With a GOP margin this big, Democrats can't even hope for an extreme nominee to give them a shot here, and no Democrat filed.

House District 2
Registration: D 5957, R 7413, N 9021, total 22399, R +1456
No incumbent; contested Republican primary

This empty seat is all of Clay and Palo Alto, with the southern third of Dickinson thrown in. Much of this was Smith's. Palo Alto was in Democrat John Wittneben's old district 7.

Recent law school grad and ex-Steve King intern Megan Hess of Spencer got in early. Minister Josh Davenport joined the race in March.
House 2 is a Republican seat, true, with a registration edge of 1459. But it's a veritable People's Republic compared to the other northwest Iowa seats. Jack Kibbie's base is in Palo Alto, and Marcy Frevert lasted a long time before she retired and handed off to Wittneben last year. House Democrats seem to have recruited a solid candidate in Spencer city council member Steve Bomgaars. He comes from a background teaching American government, and Hess was once one of his students.

Bomgaars seems to be playing down party ID and has taken a no "special interest" money pledge. That shows on the January 19 campaign finance report; Committee to Elect Hess has raised $15,945 to Steven K Bomgaars for State Representative's $7,618; Davenport didn't join the race till after the January 19 reports.

Original post 4/25/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House

Monday, January 30, 2012

GOP Primary Challenge in House District 1

First-term Rep. Jeff Smith (R-Okoboji) has drawn a primary challenge from a Campaign For Liberty/anti-tax advocate.

Kevin Wolfswinkel of Sibley, in Osceola County, has announced his candidacy in House District 1. His announcement pointedly calls it "new" District 1.

Indeed Osceola and blood-red Lyon counties, which together make up 60 percent of the population, are new to Smith. He keeps just his Dickinson County base from the old district, which he won with an easy primary and no opposition in the general when Mike May retired in 2010.

The new district had a R+ 7570 Map Day registration edge, making it the second most Republican seat in the state. Smith's old turf, which went south to Spencer in Clay County, had a GOP edge of less than 3000.

Usually getting a much better partisan edge would be good news. But Smith has been a low key freshman, compared to the Pearson-Massie-Shaw freshman Axis of Evil. And the new district is so overwhelmingly Republican that it may be looking for someone more confrontational in the mold of that crew or their more senior ally Dwayne Alons, who had Lyon in his old turf.

And Wolfswinkel, a Ron Paul backer in the recent caucuses, seems to fit that mold:
The Republican Party and the citizens of District 1 deserve a leader who will not just give lip service to the priority issues, but will be a leader who will go to Des Moines and fight for them. Prolife, the restoration of 2nd amendment rights and less government are party pillars, which require uncompromising dedication.
(Tangent: Republicans get to call no permit concealed weapons in day care centers a "rights" issue, and their party listens. But when I say a voting age adult being able to have a beer is a rights issue, my party calls me an extremist.)

In his role as president of the Osceola County Taxpayers Assocation, he called for 10 percent pay cuts for all county employees.

Democrats can't even hope for an extreme nominee to give them a shot. With a GOP margin this big, look for the primary to settle things.

Monday, April 25, 2011

District of the Day: Senate District 1, House District 1 and 2

District of the Day: Senate District 1, House District 1 and 2



Senate District 1

Registration: D 9761, R 18,483, N 14,968, total 43,229, R + 8722
Incumbents: Jack Kibbie, D-Emmetsburg and David Johnson, R-Ocheyedan

UPDATE April 25: First day, first district, first update. Alert reader Beth Schopis notes that Kibbie told a local forum on April 13: "I'm not going to run in 2012. Remember, you heard it here first." Thanks for the many years of service, Jack. This means no race in Senate 1 next year as Johnson will hold over.

We start with a big one: two senators of opposite parties paired. District 1 is five whole counties in the state's northwest corner: Dickinson and Clay, Lyon, Palo Alto and Osceola, in order of population. (Census trivia: Dickinson and Clay recorded EXACTLY the same population: 16,667.)

Senate President Kibbie keeps only Palo Alto from his 2000s district; he had Dickinson and Clay in the 90s. He loses Emmet and Kossuth, which go east into open District 4, and Pocahontas, Humboldt, and a sliver of Webster, which go south to Ft. Dodge's Daryl Beall.

Johnson keeps Dickinson, his home county Osceola and most of Clay (including the city of Spencer). He loses O'Brien and a sliver of Sioux to Randy Feenstra, and instead gets blood-red Lyon County, which he had in his 1990s House district.

Kibbie, at 81 the oldest legislator, has served consecutively in the Senate since 1988, and also served eight years in the House and Senate in the 1960s. He was re-elected with 71% in 2008 in old district 4 against a "Grassroots For Life Party" candidate ("Tea Party" didn't enter the nomenclature till 2009). Johnson, 60, moved over from the House in 2002 and was comfortable in old Senate District 3; 59% in 2006 and unopposed in 2010.

KICD radio offered a story with a lot of regional roundup the day the Legislature approved the map:
Kibbie (noted) "it's impossible I think for any Democrat to win that district. It is a big plus for the Republicans." He noted his pleasure with the current map and the previous one but says "I'm not satisfied whatsoever with the way the map is. It is always hard to elect a Democrat in Northwest Iowa but this makes it worse."

Senator Johnson tells KICD News "personally I don't have a problem with the plan to reconfigure the district I currently represent." He did express disappointment with O'Brien County not being included in the proposal.
The even-odd factor comes into play here. (Even-number Senate districts normally go on the ballot in presidential years; odd numbers are on the governor cycle.) Kibbie is at the end of a four year term. If he stays and runs, it would force Johnson to run two years early for a two year term. But with Kibbie himself saying it's "impossible" to win this district, that's a big ask to make of a guy who'll be 84 by Election Day 2012. Kibbie says he'll announce his plans post-session, word is he's expected to retire. That would let Johnson hold over till 2014.

House District 1

Registration: D 3936, R 11,506, N 6802, total 22,251, R+ 7570
Incumbent: Jeff Smith, R-Okoboji

Smith, 43, won an easy primary and had no opposition in the 2010 general to take over old district 6 from fellow Republican Mike May. KICD:
Smith would be included in House District 1 which would be comprised of the upper two thirds of Dickinson County, as well as Osceola County which is currently represented by Republican Royd Chambers and Lyon County which is represented by Republican Dwayne Alons.
Smith's old district 6 was basically Spirit Lake, Okoboji and Spencer. In the new map he keeps almost all of the Iowa Great Lakes population core of Dickinson and heads west to Osceola and Lyon. His old very Republican district becomes a very, VERY Republican district.

House District 2

Registration: D 5825, R 6977, N 8166, total 20,978, R+ 1152
No incumbent

This empty seat is all of Clay and Palo Alto, with the southern third of Dickinson thrown in. Much of this was Smith's. Palo Alto was in Democrat John Wittneben's old district 7.

This could be an escape route for Royd Chambers, who is paired with fellow Republican Dan Huseman in new District 3. But his no vote on the map makes me think he quits or dukes it out in a primary instead. It's an opportunity for a Spencer or Emmetsburg Republican such as 2010 candidate Lannie Miller, who lost to Wittneben on turf that leaned Democratic. And Democrats like Kibbie have won in this general area in living memory. (Indeed, if Kibbie were younger this might be a place for one of those Senate to House moves we sometimes see in map years.) Longtime rep Marcy Frevert voluntarily retired last year and saw Wittneben hang on to the seat.

Links: New Map | New Map (Insets) | Old Map