Showing posts with label Joni Ernst. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Joni Ernst. Show all posts

Friday, August 17, 2012

District Of The Day 3: Iowa Senate District 12, Iowa House District 23 & 24

Senate District 12
Registration: D 7585, R 18757, N 12155, total 38520, R +11172
Incumbent: Joni Ernst, R-Red Oak, unopposed

No legislative contests at all in these six counties.

Ernst, who took over in the January 2011 special election to replace Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds, trades with Hubert Houser, getting Mills, Fremont and Page in exchange for Adams and Union. Ernst keeps Taylor, Ringgold, and her home base of Montgomery.

The district's shift west nets Ernst an extra 5000 Republicans, making this the second most Republican in the state behind Randy Feenstra and moving it into don't even bother territory.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Ernst for State Senate

House District 23
Registration: D 4005, R 9810, N 6141, total 19967, R +5805
No incumbent, uncontested

Imogene farmer Mark Costello easily defeated Raymond Chase of Glenwood 67-33%, in a Republican primary that settled the whole thing in what's essentially the Mills County seat. The turf keeps Fremont and loses Page, putting the retiring Richard Anderson outside the new lines. It also makes it even more Republican, as Costello gets the fourth reddest seat in the state.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Costello for Iowa House

House District 24
Registration: D 3580, R 8947, N 6014, total 18553, R +5367
Incumbent: Cecil Dolecheck, R-Mt. Ayr, unopposed

On Map Day Dolecheck was paired up with a fellow Republican. Richard Anderson retired, but Dolecheck still got a primary. He prevailed 59-41% over restaurant owner Jane Jensen of Clarinda. Last time Dolecheck drew a Democratic opponent, 2008, he won with 60%.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Dolecheck for Representative

Senate District 12, House District 23 & 24: District of the Day 1 - 5/10/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/16/2012

Friday, March 16, 2012

District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 12, Iowa House District 23 & 24

Senate District 12
Registration: D 8794, R 19068, N 14892, total 42782, R +10274
Incumbent: Joni Ernst, R-Red Oak

Ernst, who took over in the January 2011 special election, to replace Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds, still has a very Republican district made of whole small counties. A lot of those counties change, but luckily for Ernst the new counties are all solidly Republican. She trades with Hubert Houser, getting Mills, Fremont and Page in exchange for Adams, Union and a first round draft choice. Ernst keeps Taylor, Ringgold, and her home base of Montgomery. Clarke and Decatur move east. So Ernst has six counties instead of seven.


The district's shift west (out of the base of Reynolds' predecessor Jeff Angelo) nets Ernst an extra 5000 Republicans, making this the second most Republican in the state behind Randy Feenstra and moving it into don't even bother territory. Democrats didn't file in this race or either of the House seats.

Campaign finance reports: Ernst for State Senate

House District 23
Registration: D 4556, R 10150, N 7534, total 22254, R +5594
No incumbent

If you look at the map, this district essentially flips old District 97 upside down, losing Page County and adding most of Montgomery including Red Oak. It keeps all of Fremont and expands to take in all of Mills (the old lines only had most of Mills). But if you look at the population figures, it essentially turns the Page County seat into the Mills County seat, reflecting exurban growth in Mills. That's the only part of this corner of Iowa that's growing at all; Page lost 1000 people last census. The flip puts the retiring Richard Anderson outside the new lines. It also makes it even more Republican.

Raymond Chase of Glenwood will face off with Imogene farmer Mark Costello in a probably decisive GOP primary.

House District 24
Registration: D 4238, R 8918, N 7358, total 20528, R +4680
Incumbent: Cecil Dolecheck, R-Mt. Ayr (Richard Anderson, R-Clarinda, retiring) Primary challenge

We thought the excitement here was over with Anderson's retirement, but Dolecheck drew a primary challenge from restaurant owner Jane Jensen of Clarinda. This district is more compact than Dolecheck's old one. He was first elected in 1996 out of a  Ringgold-Decatur-Union district. In the 2000s he had what looks like the largest geographic old House district, four whole counties: Montgomery, Taylor, Adams, and Ringgold, plus a corner of Union. He won with 60% in 2008 and was unopposed in 2010. The seat should be safe in the fall for either Republican.

Campaign finance reports: Dolecheck for Representative

Original post 5/10/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

District of the Day: Senate District 12, House District 23 and 24

District of the Day: Senate District 12, House District 23 and 24



Senate District 12

Registration: D 8490, R 18334, N 13336, total 40181, R+ 9844
Joni Ernst, R-Red Oak


Ernst, who took over this year in the special to replace Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds, still has a very Republican district made of whole small counties.

A lot of those counties change, but luckily for Ernst the new counties are all
solidly Republican. She trades with Hubert Houser, getting Mills, Fremont and Page in exchange for Adams, Union and a first round draft choice. Ernst keeps Taylor,
Ringgold, and her home base of Montgomery. Clarke and Decatur move east, into Paul McKinley's district. So Ernst has six counties instead of seven.

The district's shift west (out of the base of Reynolds' predecessor Jeff Angelo) nets Ernst an extra 5000 Republicans, making this the second most Republican in the state behind Randy Feenstra and moving it into don't even bother territory.

House District 23

Registration: D 4345, R 9741, N 6720, total 20815, R+ 5396
No incumbent

If you look at the map, this district essentially flips old District 97 upside
down, losing Page County and adding most of Montgomery including Red Oak. It keeps all of Fremont and expands to take in all of Mills (the old lines only had most of Mills). But if you look at the population figures, it essentially turns the Page County seat into the Mills County seat, reflecting exurban growth in Mills. That's the only part of this corner of Iowa that's growing at all; Page lost 1000 people last census. The flip puts Richard Anderson outside the new lines. It also makes it even more Republican.

House District 24

Registration: D 4145, R 8593, N 6616, total 19366, R+ 4448
Incumbents: Cecil Dolechek (R-Mt. Ayr) and Richard Anderson (R-Clarinda) January 12: Anderson retires.

This district is the story of the past: Two similar aged incumbents from similar small towns in similar shrinking rural Republican counties, holding onto beliefs that are slipping in support with each passing year.

Richard Anderson is this story in microcosm. Floor managing the constitutional amendment to end marriage equality, he made a "case" that's sure to go down in history with the last-ditch arguments for slavery and against women's franchise:
“The reason we try to protect marriage because we want to protect something called responsible procreation,” said Anderson, chairman of the House Judiciary Committee. “We want to drive procreation into a stable relationship and procreation only happens between a male and a female. See a male and a female can do something that a homosexual couple cannot: They can create children accidentally. That’s the issue. It’s not about love. It’s not about romance. It’s about driving state policy toward responsible procreation.”
Anderson, 55, also briefly applied for a Supreme Court seat before withdrawing his name. He was first elected in 2004 when Effie Boggess retired, and has been unopposed the last two cycles.

Dolechek, 59, was first elected in 1996 out of a Ringgold-Decatur-Union district. In the 2000s he had what looks like the largest geographic old House district. Old 96 was four whole counties: Montgomery, Taylor, Adams, and Ringgold, plus a corner of Union. He won with 60% in 2008 and was unopposed in 2010.

Ringgold County is a pretty small base to build from, and Page is three times bigger. So Anderson, 55, has the geographic edge here. But he could credibly move west into 23, while Dolecheck, on the east end of the district, is boxed in by fellow Republicans Joel Fry to the east and Jack Drake to the north.

Anderson told KMA radio "he's not leaving Clarinda in order to retain a spot in the Legislature" and described District 23 as "ripe for a new representative." My reading of these tea leaves is someone retires.

Or maybe Anderson has his eyes on the Supreme Court again? David Wiggins is up
for retention in 2010...

New Map | New Map (Insets) | Old Map