Saturday, March 17, 2012

District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 45, Iowa House District 89 & 90

Senate District 45
Registration: D 16646, R 8456, N 18967, total 44100, D +8190
Incumbent: Joe Seng, D-Davenport; holdover seat

I've been a Loebsacker since at least 2005, when he was still Some Dude, so my objectivity is strained as I look at Senator Doctor Seng.Since the only complaints I hear about My Man Dave are that 1) he doesn't vote exactly like Dennis Kucinich and 2) he didn't step aside for Christie Vilsack, a primary challenge from the RIGHT by a MALE makes little sense.

So let's assume for now that Seng doesn't pull this off, in which case he settles back in to hold over till 2014. In a district this blue, about 700 Democrats stronger than his old turf, he could be vulnerable to a primary challenge of his own. I'm just sayin'.

As for the lines, what was a vertical strip through the middle third of Davenport moves south and west and partway out of the city.

Campaign finance reports: Committee to Elect Joe Seng

House District 89
Registration: D 7848, R 5153, N 9773, total 22790, D +2695
Incumbent: Jim Lykam, D-Davenport

Lykam won one term in 1988, got knocked off in by Steve Grubbs in `90, then came back on friendlier turf in 2002, friendly enough that he drew a bye in 2010. (In 2006 he beat Roby Smith). That turf, new in west central Davenport, stays just about as friendly this decade. He loses a couple precincts in the north, where the district used to go to the Davenport-Eldridge line, and shifts west to the Davenport city limits.

Davenport alderman Bill Edmond is running on the GOP side. (Trivia: Davenport was the last city in the state with a partisan city council. They voted to go non-partisan in 1995. The code section allowing partisan city councils remains on the books even though no one uses it.)

Campaign finance reports: Friends of Jim Lykam

House District 90
Registration: D 8798, R 3303, N 9194, total 21310, D +5495
Incumbent: Cindy Winckler, D-Davenport

Winckler knocked off one-term Republican John Sunderbruch in 2000 and has been mostly solid since. Republicans made a serious effort last cycle with city council member Ray Ambrose. Ambrose held Winckler to a relatively close 55%, with dismal turnout. That may be the max for the GOP on this turf, as Winckler's margins are usually closer to 70-30. Or 100 to nothing; no Republican filed here.

The district shifts south and west, taking in most of southwest Davenport in wards 1 and 3. Winckler also moves east along the riverfront by what looks like one precinct, which gives her almost all of Davenport's Illinois border. It expands outside the city limit to include the city of Buffalo, which gives the district a nice long skinny shape that redistricting consultant Jerry Mandering likes. The changes make the seat even more Democratic.

Campaign finance reports: Winckler for State House

Original post 6/24/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House

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