Senate District 45
Registration: D 13869, R 7189, N 14883, total 35959, D +6680
Incumbent: Joe Seng, D-Davenport; holdover seat
After
his bizarre congressional primary challenge to Dave Loebsack, which he
lost 80-20%, Senator Doctor Seng settles back in to hold over till 2014.
In a district this blue, about 700 Democrats stronger than his old
turf, an anti-choice, pro-corporate ag "Democrat" could be vulnerable to
a primary challenge of his own. I'm just sayin'.
House District 89
Registration: D 6775, R 4497, N 8100, total 19382, D +2278
Incumbent: Jim Lykam, D-Davenport
Lykam
won one term in 1988, got knocked off by Steve Grubbs in `90, then came
back on friendlier turf in 2002, friendly enough that he drew a bye in
2010. That turf, new in west central Davenport, stays just about as
friendly this decade. He loses a couple precincts in the north, where
the district used to go to the Davenport-Eldridge line, and shifts west
to the Davenport city limits.
Davenport alderman Bill Edmond is running on the GOP side.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Friends of Jim Lykam, EDMOND FOR IOWA
While Edmond seems like a credible contender, his $1,793.62 cash on
hand makes it look like this race isn't a Republican priority. Lykam has a solid
incumbent bank account at $22,209.75.
House District 90
Registration: D 7094, R 2692, N 6783, total 16577, D +4402
Incumbent: Cindy Winckler, D-Davenport
Winckler
knocked off one-term Republican John Sunderbruch in 2000 and has been
mostly solid since. Republicans made a serious effort last cycle with
city council member Ray Ambrose. Ambrose held Winckler to a relatively
close 55%, with dismal turnout. That may be the max for the GOP on this
turf, as Winckler's margins are usually closer to 70-30.
The
district shifts south and west, and expands outside the city limit to
include the city of Buffalo. The changes make the seat even more
Democratic.
The anti-Winckler vote gets split in two. Republicans
called a late convention and nominated Some Dude Ryan Roberson.
Independent candidate Mark Riley won 38% in 2010 as the Republican
nominee against Senator Doctor Seng.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Winckler for State House Roberson and Riley did not raise enough to report.
Senate District 45, House District 89 & 90: District of the Day 1 - 6/24/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/17/2012
The worst.
Showing posts with label Iowa House District 90. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iowa House District 90. Show all posts
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Thursday, August 02, 2012
Filing Season Starts Slow
The fall filing season is off to a slow start, with just a handful of candidates turning in papers during the first four days.
Iowa's first Official presidential candidate is independent Jerry Litzel. Who? One Jerry Litzel of Ames, who appears to be this Some Dude and who seems to have recruited a family member, Jim Litzel, as a running mate. Even the incredibly comprehensive Politics1 has never heard of Litzel.
News to me: Independent Michael Garmoe apparently announced his candidacy several months ago in Senate District 42 in the bump on the lower right corner of Iowa. Garmoe joins Democrat Rich Taylor and Republican Larry Kruse on the ballot in the open seat long held by retiring Democrat Gene Fraise.
Mark Riley of Davenport won 38% in 2010 as the Republican nominee against Senator Doctor Joe Seng. This cycle Riley's goin' rogue as an independent against Democratic Rep. Cindy Winckler in House District 90. Republicans have scheduled a convention for August 9 in this heavily Democratic district.
In addition to the independents, some of the candidates nominated at party conventions have turned their paperwork in to Matt Schultz: Tim Tripp (D, Senate 40), Dan LeRette (R, House 33), Landslide John Landon (R, This Is Where Your District Went) and Ted Whisler (D, House 97).
Watch for these posts late afternoons and get ready for District Of The Day III, coming to theaters on filing deadline August 17. I may do this one in 3D.
Iowa's first Official presidential candidate is independent Jerry Litzel. Who? One Jerry Litzel of Ames, who appears to be this Some Dude and who seems to have recruited a family member, Jim Litzel, as a running mate. Even the incredibly comprehensive Politics1 has never heard of Litzel.
News to me: Independent Michael Garmoe apparently announced his candidacy several months ago in Senate District 42 in the bump on the lower right corner of Iowa. Garmoe joins Democrat Rich Taylor and Republican Larry Kruse on the ballot in the open seat long held by retiring Democrat Gene Fraise.
Mark Riley of Davenport won 38% in 2010 as the Republican nominee against Senator Doctor Joe Seng. This cycle Riley's goin' rogue as an independent against Democratic Rep. Cindy Winckler in House District 90. Republicans have scheduled a convention for August 9 in this heavily Democratic district.
In addition to the independents, some of the candidates nominated at party conventions have turned their paperwork in to Matt Schultz: Tim Tripp (D, Senate 40), Dan LeRette (R, House 33), Landslide John Landon (R, This Is Where Your District Went) and Ted Whisler (D, House 97).
Watch for these posts late afternoons and get ready for District Of The Day III, coming to theaters on filing deadline August 17. I may do this one in 3D.
Saturday, March 17, 2012
District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 45, Iowa House District 89 & 90
Senate District 45
Registration: D 16646, R 8456, N 18967, total 44100, D +8190
Incumbent: Joe Seng, D-Davenport; holdover seat
I've been a Loebsacker since at least 2005, when he was still Some Dude, so my objectivity is strained as I look at Senator Doctor Seng.Since the only complaints I hear about My Man Dave are that 1) he doesn't vote exactly like Dennis Kucinich and 2) he didn't step aside for Christie Vilsack, a primary challenge from the RIGHT by a MALE makes little sense.
So let's assume for now that Seng doesn't pull this off, in which case he settles back in to hold over till 2014. In a district this blue, about 700 Democrats stronger than his old turf, he could be vulnerable to a primary challenge of his own. I'm just sayin'.
As for the lines, what was a vertical strip through the middle third of Davenport moves south and west and partway out of the city.
Campaign finance reports: Committee to Elect Joe Seng
House District 89
Registration: D 7848, R 5153, N 9773, total 22790, D +2695
Incumbent: Jim Lykam, D-Davenport
Lykam won one term in 1988, got knocked off in by Steve Grubbs in `90, then came back on friendlier turf in 2002, friendly enough that he drew a bye in 2010. (In 2006 he beat Roby Smith). That turf, new in west central Davenport, stays just about as friendly this decade. He loses a couple precincts in the north, where the district used to go to the Davenport-Eldridge line, and shifts west to the Davenport city limits.
Davenport alderman Bill Edmond is running on the GOP side. (Trivia: Davenport was the last city in the state with a partisan city council. They voted to go non-partisan in 1995. The code section allowing partisan city councils remains on the books even though no one uses it.)
Campaign finance reports: Friends of Jim Lykam
House District 90
Registration: D 8798, R 3303, N 9194, total 21310, D +5495
Incumbent: Cindy Winckler, D-Davenport
Winckler knocked off one-term Republican John Sunderbruch in 2000 and has been mostly solid since. Republicans made a serious effort last cycle with city council member Ray Ambrose. Ambrose held Winckler to a relatively close 55%, with dismal turnout. That may be the max for the GOP on this turf, as Winckler's margins are usually closer to 70-30. Or 100 to nothing; no Republican filed here.
The district shifts south and west, taking in most of southwest Davenport in wards 1 and 3. Winckler also moves east along the riverfront by what looks like one precinct, which gives her almost all of Davenport's Illinois border. It expands outside the city limit to include the city of Buffalo, which gives the district a nice long skinny shape that redistricting consultant Jerry Mandering likes. The changes make the seat even more Democratic.
Campaign finance reports: Winckler for State House
Original post 6/24/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
Registration: D 16646, R 8456, N 18967, total 44100, D +8190
Incumbent: Joe Seng, D-Davenport; holdover seat
I've been a Loebsacker since at least 2005, when he was still Some Dude, so my objectivity is strained as I look at Senator Doctor Seng.Since the only complaints I hear about My Man Dave are that 1) he doesn't vote exactly like Dennis Kucinich and 2) he didn't step aside for Christie Vilsack, a primary challenge from the RIGHT by a MALE makes little sense.
So let's assume for now that Seng doesn't pull this off, in which case he settles back in to hold over till 2014. In a district this blue, about 700 Democrats stronger than his old turf, he could be vulnerable to a primary challenge of his own. I'm just sayin'.
As for the lines, what was a vertical strip through the middle third of Davenport moves south and west and partway out of the city.
Campaign finance reports: Committee to Elect Joe Seng
House District 89
Registration: D 7848, R 5153, N 9773, total 22790, D +2695
Incumbent: Jim Lykam, D-Davenport
Lykam won one term in 1988, got knocked off in by Steve Grubbs in `90, then came back on friendlier turf in 2002, friendly enough that he drew a bye in 2010. (In 2006 he beat Roby Smith). That turf, new in west central Davenport, stays just about as friendly this decade. He loses a couple precincts in the north, where the district used to go to the Davenport-Eldridge line, and shifts west to the Davenport city limits.
Davenport alderman Bill Edmond is running on the GOP side. (Trivia: Davenport was the last city in the state with a partisan city council. They voted to go non-partisan in 1995. The code section allowing partisan city councils remains on the books even though no one uses it.)
Campaign finance reports: Friends of Jim Lykam
House District 90
Registration: D 8798, R 3303, N 9194, total 21310, D +5495
Incumbent: Cindy Winckler, D-Davenport
Winckler knocked off one-term Republican John Sunderbruch in 2000 and has been mostly solid since. Republicans made a serious effort last cycle with city council member Ray Ambrose. Ambrose held Winckler to a relatively close 55%, with dismal turnout. That may be the max for the GOP on this turf, as Winckler's margins are usually closer to 70-30. Or 100 to nothing; no Republican filed here.
The district shifts south and west, taking in most of southwest Davenport in wards 1 and 3. Winckler also moves east along the riverfront by what looks like one precinct, which gives her almost all of Davenport's Illinois border. It expands outside the city limit to include the city of Buffalo, which gives the district a nice long skinny shape that redistricting consultant Jerry Mandering likes. The changes make the seat even more Democratic.
Campaign finance reports: Winckler for State House
Original post 6/24/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
Friday, June 24, 2011
District of the Day: Senate District 45, House Districts 89 and 90
District of the Day: Senate District 45, House Districts 89 and 90
Senate District 45
Registration: D 15353, R 7583, N 16455, total 39421, D + 7770
Incumbent: Joe Seng, D-Davenport
Last decade saw a major map rewrite in Scott County, and two legislators, Republican Dave Millage and Democrat Pat Deluhery, bailed to run unsuccessful statewide. This time, all the districts are basically recognizable. There's no open seats and no pair-ups.
After winning one term in the House as a post-primary replacement candidate, veterinarian Joe Seng (does the double honorific Senator Doctor Seng that he seems to prefer annoy anyone else?) won this seat easily in 2002. After going unopposed in 2006, he beat Some Dude Republican Mark Riley with 62% in 2010.
What was a vertical strip through the middle third of Davenport moves south and west and partway out of the city. The changes make this solidly Democratic district about 700 Democrats stronger.
House District 89
Registration: D 7327, R 4688, N 8576, total 20605, D+ 2639
Incumbent: Jim Lykam, D-Davenport
Lykam won one term in 1988, got knocked off in by Steve Grubbs in `90, then came back on friendlier turf in 2002, friendly enough that he drew a bye in 2010. (In 2006 he beat one Roby Smith, who we'll hear from next Tuesday). That turf, new in west central Davenport, stays just about as friendly this decade. He loses a couple precincts in the north, where the district used to go to the Davenport-Eldridge line, and shifts west to the Davenport city limits.
House District 90
Registration: D 8026, R 2895, N 7879, total 18816, D+ 5131
Incumbent: Cindy Winckler, D-Davenport
Winckler knocked off one-term Republican John Sunderbruch in 2000 and has been mostly solid since. Republicans made a relatively serious effort last cycle with city council member Ray Ambrose. (Trivia: Davenport was the last city in the state with a partisan city council. They voted to go non-partisan in 1995. The code section allowing partisan city councils remains on the books even though no one uses it.) Ambrose held Winckler to a relatively close 55%, with dismal turnout. That may be the max for the GOP on this turf, as Winckler's margins are usually closer to 70-30.
The district shifts south and west, taking in most of southwest Davenport in wards 1 and 3. Winckler also moves east along the riverfront by what looks like one precinct, which gives her almost all of Davenport's Illinois border. It expands outside the city limit to include the city of Buffalo, which gives the district a nice long skinny shape that redistricting consultant Jerry Mandering likes. The changes make the seat even more Democratic.
New Map | New Map (Insets) | Old Map
Senate District 45
Registration: D 15353, R 7583, N 16455, total 39421, D + 7770
Incumbent: Joe Seng, D-Davenport
Last decade saw a major map rewrite in Scott County, and two legislators, Republican Dave Millage and Democrat Pat Deluhery, bailed to run unsuccessful statewide. This time, all the districts are basically recognizable. There's no open seats and no pair-ups.After winning one term in the House as a post-primary replacement candidate, veterinarian Joe Seng (does the double honorific Senator Doctor Seng that he seems to prefer annoy anyone else?) won this seat easily in 2002. After going unopposed in 2006, he beat Some Dude Republican Mark Riley with 62% in 2010.
What was a vertical strip through the middle third of Davenport moves south and west and partway out of the city. The changes make this solidly Democratic district about 700 Democrats stronger.
House District 89
Registration: D 7327, R 4688, N 8576, total 20605, D+ 2639
Incumbent: Jim Lykam, D-Davenport
Lykam won one term in 1988, got knocked off in by Steve Grubbs in `90, then came back on friendlier turf in 2002, friendly enough that he drew a bye in 2010. (In 2006 he beat one Roby Smith, who we'll hear from next Tuesday). That turf, new in west central Davenport, stays just about as friendly this decade. He loses a couple precincts in the north, where the district used to go to the Davenport-Eldridge line, and shifts west to the Davenport city limits.
House District 90
Registration: D 8026, R 2895, N 7879, total 18816, D+ 5131
Incumbent: Cindy Winckler, D-Davenport
Winckler knocked off one-term Republican John Sunderbruch in 2000 and has been mostly solid since. Republicans made a relatively serious effort last cycle with city council member Ray Ambrose. (Trivia: Davenport was the last city in the state with a partisan city council. They voted to go non-partisan in 1995. The code section allowing partisan city councils remains on the books even though no one uses it.) Ambrose held Winckler to a relatively close 55%, with dismal turnout. That may be the max for the GOP on this turf, as Winckler's margins are usually closer to 70-30.
The district shifts south and west, taking in most of southwest Davenport in wards 1 and 3. Winckler also moves east along the riverfront by what looks like one precinct, which gives her almost all of Davenport's Illinois border. It expands outside the city limit to include the city of Buffalo, which gives the district a nice long skinny shape that redistricting consultant Jerry Mandering likes. The changes make the seat even more Democratic.
New Map | New Map (Insets) | Old Map
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