Senate District 48
Registration: D 11066, R 12175, N 15545, total 38823, R +1109
No Incumbent
It's
up or out for two term House member Willems. No matter which race he
ran, the turf was radically changed. His old district was half Linn,
half Johnson. The new Senate seat takes in a mostly different chunk of
Linn, with only the Mt. Vernon-Lisbon metro area and Springville
overlapping. It goes north and east to take in all of Delaware County
and most of Jones, where Willems grew up.
Republican Cindy
Golding, the loser to Liz Mathis in the Batle of Marion special Senate
race, had said she would run here if she won rather than in Senate 34.
But she passed on the race and endorsed farmer Dan Zumbach of rural
Ryan. Zumbach had announced even before the special Senate election was
called, and he easily beat Some Dude Brian Cook of Manchester in the GOP
primary, 79-21%.
Caucuses and primaries have boosted the numbers
to a paper Republican edge, but on Map Day, this was the very definition
of a swing seat, with a Democratic registration edge of ONE voter.
It's the #27 Democratic seat and/or the #24 most Republican. So yeah.
Critical for control.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Citizens for Willems, Dan Zumbach for Senate
Willems is ready for battle with a near-leadership level
$92,616.41 in the bank, including more than $31,000 raised in the
post-primary weeks. Zumbach has $23,790.50 on hand.
House District 95
Registration: D 6342, R 6214, N 7581, total 20169, D +128
Open seat: incumbent Nate Willems, D-Lisbon running for Senate 48.
The
Mt. Vernon-Lisbon area has been home base for several legislators in a
row: Dave Osterberg, one-term Republican Lynn Schulte, Ro Foege, then
Willems.
But new House 95 bears so little resemblance to the House
29 where Willems won two terms that you can't even really call it the
same district. It adds most of north and east rural Linn County. That
makes up 90% of a House district; the southeast corner of Buchanan gets
thrown in to balance the Census count.
Republican Quentin Stanerson of Center Point, an economics teacher and wrestling coach, will face Democratic teacher Kristen Keast of Mt. Vernon.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Stanerson For State House, Keast For HD95
Keast picked up the fundraising pace with over $9000 in June-July, and
has $12,213.25 in the bank. That gives her the lead over Stanerson with
$8,434.54.
House District 96
Registration: D 4724, R 5961, N 7964, total 18654, R +1237
Incumbent: Lee Hein, R-Monticello, unopposed
In
the 2001 map, Jones County was in one House district and Delaware
County was split. This decade it's the other way around, as Delaware
stays whole and Jones is split. Most of the land in Jones goes east to
House 58, but most of the people, in population centers Anamosa and
Monticello, are in this district.
Hein, a former Monticello
school board member, found himself in a My District Just Not My House
pair-up with doomed Republican Brian Moore, and moved back into his
district. This seat is both better than the one he left and better than
the one he won two years ago, when Hein beat three term Democrat Ray
Zirkelbach by about 800 votes. That seat had a 1400 Democrat
registration edge. With Delaware County added, the seat turns redder.
July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Hein for State House
Senate District 48, House District 95 & 96: District of the Day 1 - 6/29/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/17/2012
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