Showing posts with label Dean Fisher. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dean Fisher. Show all posts

Saturday, August 18, 2012

District Of The Day 3: Iowa Senate District 36, Iowa House District 71 & 72

Senate District 36
Registration: D 11129, R 12062, N 13993, total 37204, R +933
Incumbent: Steve Sodders, D-State Center

No Democrat gained more from the Republican primary results than Steve Sodders. The Branstad wing of the party recruited Sodders' predecessor, former three-term senator and one time congressional candidate Larry McKibben. But primary voters preferred tea partyish two-time House loser Jane Jech over McKibben, 59-41%. The race dropped significantly in priority soon after.

Sodders, a deputy sheriff, won by more than 3,000 votes when McKibben retired in Democratic wave year 2008. The new lines will help him in 2012, as he sheds 1500 Republicans and this becomes a true swing seat.

Marshall County makes up two-thirds of this seat. The old district had all of Hardin County and the tiny piece of Ackley in Franklin County. The district moves east to take in all of Tama County and a small piece of southern Black Hawk.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Jane Jech for Iowa Senate, Sodders for State Senate Sodders has been prepping for a tough race. He raised over $32,000 in June and July and has $68,734.76 on hand. Jech took in $16,429.00 post-primary and has $11,065.75.

House District 71
Registration: D 5557, R 5545, N 6356, total 17467, D +12
Incumbent: Mark Smith, D-Marshalltown

The District Draws Itself: With a census population of 27,552, Marshalltown is 90.4% of ideal district size. This remains a swing seat, as it's been for years. As of my August 9 benchmark date, the voter registration margin of 12 voters for the Democrats makes this the most evenly split seat in the state. There was a 58 vote race here in 1992, and Smith won the seat in 2000 by knocking off three term Republican Beverly Nelson-Forbes by just 275. He settled in to the point where he was unopposed in 2004 and 2006, and beat Jech by more than 1700 in 2008. But in a rematch with Jech against the 2010 GOP wave, Smith survived by just a 303 vote margin.

With Jech in the Senate race, Republicans have turned to farmer and ex-school board member Allen Burt for the House race.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Mark Smith for Iowa House, Allen Burt for House Smith raised more than 10 grand in June/July and has $29,485.98. Burt has $18,255.48 on hand.

House District 72
Registration: D 5572, R 6517, N 7637, total 19737, R +945
Open seat; Lance Horbach, R-Tama, not seeking re-election

Horbach announced his retirement before The Map was even released. Republican Dean Fisher of Garwin will try to hold a seat that's significantly less Republican. The old Tama-Grundy seat had a GOP registration edge of almost 2500, and Horbach, after winning his first term by 9 votes, had gradually settled into the comfort of uncontested races. This decade Tama County gets sent west to pick up all of Marshall County south and west of Marshalltown.

This shifts the district into the swing seat zone. In a Democratic primary upset, school custodian and county conservation board member Nathan Wrage defeated highly touted tribal executive Christina Blackcloud-Garcia. 54-46%.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Dean Fisher for House 2012, Wrage for State Representative Wrage had $2,341.06 on hand; Blackcloud-Garcia had pulled in some big out of state donations. Fisher has $3,822.98.

Senate District 36, House District 71 & 72: District of the Day 1 - 6/13/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/16/2012

Friday, March 16, 2012

District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 36, Iowa House District 71 & 72

Senate District 36
Registration: D 12349, R 13045, N 16292, total 41708, R +696
Incumbent: Steve Sodders, D-State Center; contested Republican primary, comeback attempt

Republicans have recruited a top-tier challenger for Steve Sodders: his predecessor.
Former three-term senator and one time congressional candidate Larry McKibben is challenging Sodders. Another Republican was already in the race when McKibben announced: two-time House loser Jane Jech. But she wasn't dissuaded so they'll settle things in the primary.

Marshall County makes up two-thirds of this seat. The old district had all of Hardin County and the tiny piece of Ackley in Franklin County. The district moves east to take in all of Tama County and a small piece of southern Black Hawk.

Sodders won by more than 3,000 votes when McKibben retired in Democratic wave year 2008. The new lines will help him in 2012, as he sheds 1500 Republicans and this becomes a true swing seat. Sodders, a deputy sheriff, has cut a moderate image and is recently raffling off guns as a fund raiser.

Finance reports were due before McKibben joined the race. Sodders for State Senate had a big money lead: $26,630 in cash on hand compared to $784 for Jane Jech for Iowa Senate.

House District 71
Registration: D 6233, R 6070, N 7551, total 19863, D +163
Incumbent: Mark Smith, D-Marshalltown

The District Draws Itself: With a census population of 27,552, Marshalltown is 90.4% of ideal district size. Even the rural part stays almost the same, adding one township and keeping the communities of Albion and Liscomb.

Democrat Mark Smith is the beneficiary of this geopolitical and numeric serendipity, and of course the partisan balance barely changes. This remains a swing seat, as it's been for years (one upside of the district Draws Itself is comparisons across decades are possible). There was a 58 vote race here in 1992, and Smith won the seat in 2000 by knocking off three term Republican Beverly Nelson-Forbes by just 275. He settled in to the point where he was unopposed in 2004 and 2006, and beat Republican Jane Jech by more than 1700 in 2008. But in a rematch with Jech against the 2010 GOP wave, Smith survived by just a 303 vote margin.

With Jech in the Senate race, Republicans have turned to farmer and ex-school board member Allen Burt for the House race.

Campaign finance reports: Mark Smith for Iowa House

House District 72
Registration: D 6116, R 6975, N 8741, total 21845, R +859
Open seat; Lance Horbach, R-Tama, not seeking re-election. Contested Democratic primary

Horbach announced his retirement before The Map was even released. Republican Dean Fisher of Garwin will try to hold a seat that's significantly less Republican. The old Tama-Grundy seat had a GOP registration edge of almost 2500, and Horbach had gradually settled into the comfort of uncontested races. This decade Tama County gets sent west to pick up all of Marshall County south and west of Marshalltown. It also adds two rural Black Hawk County townships and La Porte City.

This shifts the district into the swing seat zone, and Democrats look to be making a serious effort with Sac and Fox tribal executive Christina Blackcloud-Garcia. She got the whole House Democrats rollout treatment... and then she got a primary opponent. Nathan Wrage of Gladbrook is a school custodian and county conservation board member.

This area has seen close contests; Horbach won his first term by nine (!) votes over Democrat Bill Brand in 1998.

Campaign finance reports: Dean Fisher for House 2012

Original post 6/13/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Day 2 of Filing

The festival of filing continued today at the Secretary of State's office, with a few more names that I'd somehow missed:

Davenport tea partier Mark Nelson, who was the 2006 Libertarian nominee for lieutenant governor. He's now on the ballot as a Republican in House District 93, a swing seat held by two term Democrat Phyllis Thede.

In another new-to-me filing, Imogene farmer Mark Costello filed in empty House District 23 in the state's southwest corner.

Republican Dean Fisher of Garwin is the first name to surface in Tama-based House District 72, where GOP incumbent Lance Horbach announced his retirement before the map even came out.

Larry Sheets of Moulton filed in House District 80, centered in Monroe County with no incumbent. Democrat Joe Judge is running here.

Bloomfield's James Johnson, last spotted on Team Bachmann, is on the ballot for House 82, now held by Fairfield Democrat Curt Hanson.

Two Republicans who lost 2010 primaries are making another try. Waterloo Republican Lyn Tackett in House District 61 lost to former mayor John Rooff, who in turn lost to Anesa Kajtazovic in November. Home schooler Sandy Salmon filed in Bremer based no-incumbent House 63, where Dems have recruited former senator Bill Heckroth.

In stuff I already expected:

Knoxville Democrat Dick Schrad filed in open Senate District 14, the seat ex-Republican leader Paul McKinley is vacating.

Clive minister Jeff Mullen filed today to challenge GOP incumbent* Pat Ward in Senate District 22. * = Ward moved into the seat to avoid a pair-up with Democrat Matt McCoy. About half of the district was her turf in the old map.

The first of FOUR expected Democrats in Senate District 42, Rich Taylor of Mt. Pleasant, has filed. That's the seat where longtime Democratic incumbent Gene Fraise is retiring.

Dan Zumbach of Ryan is the first Republican in for empty Senate District 48. This seat is also home to failed Battle of Marion Senate candidate Cindy Golding -- will she follow through here? UPDATE: Guess not: at last week's Linn Co GOP meeting Golding announced she was NOT running and backed Zumbach (thanks: Don McDowell) Dems are running Lisbon Rep. Nate Willems.

In House District 8, which had THREE incimbents on Map Day, we have a primary challenger, as minister Bob Dishman files. Dishman's looking to knock off the Republican left in the district, Henry Rayhons.

Tea party-ish Jim Carley filed in Altoona-based House District 30, where conservative crusader Kim Pearson is stepping down after just one term.

Davenport city council member Bill Edmonds (R) filed to challenge Democrat Jim Lykam in House District 93.

Routine incumbent filing was led by Senate GOP leader Jerry Behn in Senate District 24. In not-so-routine incumbent filing, Sioux City freshman Republican Jeremy Taylor filed for House District 13. He's expected to face first-term Democrat Chris Hall in the only two-incumbent House general election matchup.

Other incumbents who stopped by:

  • Republican Randy Feenstra has the reddest seat in the Senate, District 2; went completely unopposed for his first term, both general AND primary, in 2008.

  • Half-term GOP Sen. Joni Ernst won a January 2011 special to replace Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds. Now on significantly changed but still solidly red turf, she filed for a first full term in Senate District 12.

  • Fellow GOP Senator Tim Kapucian is also on significantly changed turf in Senate District 38, except his seat got a lot more Democratic.

  • Safe northwest Republican Chuck Soderberg is in for another term in House District 5

  • Stand your ground: Missouri Valley's Matt Windschitl constitutionally filed for a fourth term in House District 17

  • Osceola freshman Joel Fry for a second term in House District 27

  • Peter Cownie of West Des Moines in House District 42

  • First term Republican Bob Hager filed in Allamakee-Clayton based House 56.

  • Two freshman House Republicans avoid redistricting pair-ups. Guy Vander Linden filed in Pella-Oskaloosa House 79, where Jim Van Engelenhoeven retired. Lee Hein of Monticello moved back into his district, House 96; his house was in House 58 where Brian Moore is staying and running.

  • Dubuque's Pat Murphy, who as then-Speaker got a close call in 2010, is looking for another term in House 99.