Senate District 34
Registration: D 12855, R 14159, N 16582, total 43648, R +1304
Incumbent: Liz Mathis, D-Cedar Rapids
It was a genius move by Terry Branstad: since he was required to name a Democrat to the state utility board anyway, he went to the Senate and picked Marion senator Swati Dandekar. The special election win would have tied the Senate and changed the game.
But then Republicans split at convention and rejected Branstad's preferred choice, while Democrats scored a candidate recruiting coup with a 100 percent name ID former TV anchor. The Battle of Marion was probably over as soon as Liz Mathis entered the race, but Democrats worked like it wasn't and pulled off a relatively comfortable win.
The changes in the district lines were a bit of an issue in the special election. Mathis lives inside both old Senate 18 and new Senate 34. Republican Cindy Golding, however, lives in new Senate 48 and said she would run for re-election there if she won the special. (She eventually decided not to run.)
The geography changes a lot, but more than half the seat is still Marion. In fact, since it grew to 34,768, more than the ideal House District size, Marion is split between House districts for the first time ever.
More than any other in the state, this district looks like it was drawn by redistricting consultant Jerry Mandering. But it follows city limits and other regular boundaries; it's the city limits themselves that are a mess, a legacy of last decade's annexation war between Robins, Hiawatha, Cedar Rapids and Marion.
The special election was probably the Republican's best shot at beating Mathis. Their candidate this year, Randi Shannon of Cedar Rapids, is playing all the usual Constitutional Limited Government tea party cards and looks like a self-starter.
House District 67
Registration: D 6016, R 7537, N 8157, total 21733, R +1521
Incumbent: Kraig Paulsen, R-Hiawatha
Paulsen used to have a rural-urban mix and took in most of the land area of Linn County. Now he gets an all-metro district, losing eight small towns and three of the four corners of the county. Paulsen keeps Hiawatha and Robins, both of which grew in population and area last decade. He loses the part of Cedar Rapids between the south side of Hiawatha and 42nd Street (precinct 46 and 47). Instead he gets the Bowman Woods area northeast of Council Street and Collins Road (precincts 29, 30, 31). He also gets the 4th ward of Marion, which is basically everything north and west of Indian Creek and is the more Republican part of town.
The old district was a swing seat, with a slim Democratic edge, and Paulsen had relatively close races his first three terms. Then in 2008, his opponent dropped out after voting had already started; the name on the ballot with a D after it still got 42%. Soon after the 2008 election, he took over as Minority Leader from Christopher Rants, and that helped establish him to the point that he avoided opposition in 2010.
Renee Schulte's 2010 Democratic opponent, attorney Mark Seidl, was redrawn into the district and is challenging Paulsen. That was one of the few districts where Democrats looked like they were going to play offense. But there was too much defense in 2010 to play any offense, and Seidl fell about 1100 votes short.
The Paulsen for State House Committee has a whopping $215,580 in the bank on the January 19 report, but most of that is no doubt meant for his team's targeted races. Seidl for State Representative had $20,359, making him one of the best financed challenger candidates.
House District 68
Registration: D 6839, R 6622, N 8425, total 21915, D +217
Incumbent: Nick Wagner, R-Marion
Just five years ago, the late Mary Lundby was leading the Republicans in the Iowa Senate. Now, in a symbolically powerful indication of the demise of the moderate wing of the GOP, her son Daniel Lundby is running for the Marion House seat she once held... as a Democrat.
“The Republican Party and the people I was supporting no longer placed the best interests of Iowa and its voters before their own party agenda.”" said Daniel Lundby in his press release.
Lundby is challenging Republican Rep. Nick Wagner, who went to the House in 2008 in a seat shuffle prompted by Mary Lundby's retirement. (She had planned to run for the Board of Supervisors, but cancer that had been in remission returned and she passed away in early 2009.) Wagner had lost to Swati Dandekar in the 2006 House race, but by a credible margin of 685. He came back to win the open seat race over Gretchen Lawyer in 2008, one of the few GOP gains in that Democratic wave year. Surprisingly, Democrats made no effort at all in 2010 as Wagner walked over in an uncontested election.
The district no longer includes all of Marion, which for the first time this census is larger than a House district. The most Republican part of town is now in speaker Kraig Paulsen's district. Wagner keeps the remaining three-fourths of Marion. But he loses the rural stuff he had to the north in Marion and Maine townships. Instead he goes south to the Johnson County line, picking up Bertram, Ely and their surrounding townships. This turns a Republican leaning swing seat into a Democratic leaning swing seat.
Nick Wagner for State House had a lead on the January 19 finance report, with $16,060 cash on hand to Lundby for Iowa House's $7592.
Original post 6/09/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House
The worst.
Showing posts with label Randi Shannon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Randi Shannon. Show all posts
Friday, March 16, 2012
Monday, March 12, 2012
Day 11 of Filing
Friday night's big news was Wilton Republican Jeff Kaufmann announcing he was not seeking re-election in House District 73. Today, we got the follow-up the rumor mill had told us about: son Bobby Kaufmann, 26, will run in dad's seat. He'll face the winner of the Democratic primary between Dick Schwab of Solon and David Johnson of West Branch.
Another son of a legislator filed today in a very different story. Daniel Lundby of Marion is the son of the late Mary Lundby, former Senate Republican leader. But Daniel filed as a Democrat. It's a symbolically powerful statement about the end of Mary Lundby's brand of pragmatic moderation, as Daniel hopes to take the House seat she once held, now District 68, from Republican Nick Wagner.
There may be another last-second retirement. We have two filings in Warren County's House District 26. Neither of them is the incumbent, tea partier Glen Massie. There was talk Massie might pull a Pearson and quit after a single term, and now that I think about it I don't remember seeing an actual Massie announcement... The two who filed today are Warren County GOP "co-chair" (sic) Steve McCoy and Carlisle mayor Ruth Randleman.
Republican Andrew Wilson of Burlington appears to be Some Dude, but that's more opposition than Dennis Cohoon usually gets in solidly Democratic House 87.
Dubuque Republican Paul Kern gave then-speaker Pat Murphy a scare at the polls in 2010; Kern is back for another try in House 99
Also news to me, though apparently she's all over the web: Cedar Rapids Republican Randi Shannon filed in Senate District 34, now held by Democrat Liz Mathis.
And Republican Brian Cook of Manchester files in no-incumbent Senate District 48. He has a primary with Dan Zumbach; winner sees Rep. Nate Willems, D-Lisbon, in November.
In the overlapping House seat, House District 95, Center Point Republican Quentin Stanerson files.
In filings we already expected, two more Republican candidates file in This Is Where Your District Went, House 37: John Landon and Stacey Rogers. That brings the total filed to four in the more Republican of the two Ankeny seats.
In the other Ankeny seat, Democrat John Phoenix filed in House District 38. He's challenging GOP incumbent Kevin Koester, who also filed today, in a swing seat.
Democrat now officially have a three way primary in open House District 36 as William Rock files. He has my favorite committee name: Citizens For Rock. Sounds like a lost Tenacious D track. The other Dems are Marti Anderson and Cara Kennedy-Ode; winner is a heavy November favorite.
In no-incumbent Senate District 4, Democrat Bob Jennings filed; the GOP has a primary between Dennis Guth and former senator Jim Black.
Democrat Steve Bomgaars filed in no-incumbent Huse District 2, where he'll face the winner of a GOP primary between Megan Hess and Josh Davenport.
Both announced Republicans filed in House District 55, held by Democrat Roger Thomas. Spillville mayor Michael Klimesh, who lost a 2010 race, will face Dustin Noble of Decorah in the primary.
Non-filing news: Shelley Parbs of Urbana is the second Democrat to announce in Senate District 38, joining LaForest Sherman (who filed today). The winner faces GOP incumbent Tim Kapucian in a much-changed swing seat. Bleeding Heartland has a good look.
Lee Harder (the article gets his name wrong) of Hillsboro is the second Republican to announce in open Senate District 42 (the Gene Fraise seat). Harder finished a distant third in the 2008 2nd Congressional District primary. Lee County supervisor Larry Kruse announced before Fraise retired; the Democrats have a three-way primary.
Routine Incumbents filing today:
Tom Courtney, D-Burlington, in Senate District 44
Beth Wessel-Kroeschell, D-Ames in House District 45
Lisa Heddens, D-Ames in House District 46
Dave Deyoe, R-Nevada in House District 49
Josh Byrnes, R-Osage in House District 51
Walt Rogers, R-Cedar Falls in House District 60
Renee Schulte, R-Cedar Rapids in House District 66
House speaker Kraig Paulsen, R-Hiawatha in House District 67
Jerry Kearns, D-Keokuk in House District 83
Tom Sands, R-Wapello in House District 88
And oh yeah, someone named Vilsack.
Another son of a legislator filed today in a very different story. Daniel Lundby of Marion is the son of the late Mary Lundby, former Senate Republican leader. But Daniel filed as a Democrat. It's a symbolically powerful statement about the end of Mary Lundby's brand of pragmatic moderation, as Daniel hopes to take the House seat she once held, now District 68, from Republican Nick Wagner.
There may be another last-second retirement. We have two filings in Warren County's House District 26. Neither of them is the incumbent, tea partier Glen Massie. There was talk Massie might pull a Pearson and quit after a single term, and now that I think about it I don't remember seeing an actual Massie announcement... The two who filed today are Warren County GOP "co-chair" (sic) Steve McCoy and Carlisle mayor Ruth Randleman.
Republican Andrew Wilson of Burlington appears to be Some Dude, but that's more opposition than Dennis Cohoon usually gets in solidly Democratic House 87.
Dubuque Republican Paul Kern gave then-speaker Pat Murphy a scare at the polls in 2010; Kern is back for another try in House 99
Also news to me, though apparently she's all over the web: Cedar Rapids Republican Randi Shannon filed in Senate District 34, now held by Democrat Liz Mathis.
And Republican Brian Cook of Manchester files in no-incumbent Senate District 48. He has a primary with Dan Zumbach; winner sees Rep. Nate Willems, D-Lisbon, in November.
In the overlapping House seat, House District 95, Center Point Republican Quentin Stanerson files.
In filings we already expected, two more Republican candidates file in This Is Where Your District Went, House 37: John Landon and Stacey Rogers. That brings the total filed to four in the more Republican of the two Ankeny seats.
In the other Ankeny seat, Democrat John Phoenix filed in House District 38. He's challenging GOP incumbent Kevin Koester, who also filed today, in a swing seat.
Democrat now officially have a three way primary in open House District 36 as William Rock files. He has my favorite committee name: Citizens For Rock. Sounds like a lost Tenacious D track. The other Dems are Marti Anderson and Cara Kennedy-Ode; winner is a heavy November favorite.
In no-incumbent Senate District 4, Democrat Bob Jennings filed; the GOP has a primary between Dennis Guth and former senator Jim Black.
Democrat Steve Bomgaars filed in no-incumbent Huse District 2, where he'll face the winner of a GOP primary between Megan Hess and Josh Davenport.
Both announced Republicans filed in House District 55, held by Democrat Roger Thomas. Spillville mayor Michael Klimesh, who lost a 2010 race, will face Dustin Noble of Decorah in the primary.
Non-filing news: Shelley Parbs of Urbana is the second Democrat to announce in Senate District 38, joining LaForest Sherman (who filed today). The winner faces GOP incumbent Tim Kapucian in a much-changed swing seat. Bleeding Heartland has a good look.
Lee Harder (the article gets his name wrong) of Hillsboro is the second Republican to announce in open Senate District 42 (the Gene Fraise seat). Harder finished a distant third in the 2008 2nd Congressional District primary. Lee County supervisor Larry Kruse announced before Fraise retired; the Democrats have a three-way primary.
Routine Incumbents filing today:
And oh yeah, someone named Vilsack.
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