Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Pataki. Pataki?!?

Pataki. Pataki?!?

Why? Because as Flavor of the Week Rick Perry is already wearing thin?

Speaking of flavor, it's been 18 years since Pataki knocked off Mario Cuomo. In 2000 he might have been a strong contender, or in Alternate Universe 2004 against President Gore. But in 2012 Pataki is sour milk.

Nate Silver graphs it out in four dimensions -- you have to see it, the man is a genius -- and illustrates that while there is room for yet someone else in the field, the niche is not where Pataki is located. Indeed, his tiny circle of potential support falls entirely in the Mitt Zone. He's Mitt without Obamneycare and without the deal-breaker for the fundamentalists of the Mormon Church.

And Newt already has the I Love The 90s niche locked up.

No, Pataki is not the saviour the Bill Buckley crowd is praying for:
The problem, in shorthand: To many conservative elites, Rick Perry is a dope, Michele Bachmann is a joke and Mitt Romney is a fraud.
And Huntsman is unacceptable to the base; Kevin Hall at TheIowaRepublican rips the Former Obama Administration Ambassador several new ones in a must-read.

As I see it, the GOP has two possible strategies forward:

1964, where they turn the party over to the crazies for a cycle so they can say Told Ya So in four years.

Or, and this is my bet, 1996. They punt on the presidency and throw everything into the down-ballot races.

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