Showing posts with label Lyn Tackett. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lyn Tackett. Show all posts

Saturday, August 18, 2012

District Of The Day 3: Iowa Senate District 31, Iowa House District 61 & 62

Senate District 31
Registration: D 14687, R 6331, N 12542, total 33574, D +8356
Incumbent: Bill Dotzler, D-Waterloo; holdover seat

An excellent Democratic district gets even better with minor line changes. Dotzler keeps all of Waterloo northeast of the river and a similar chunk of the southeast, along with Elk Run Heights, Evansdale and Raymond. The changes are at the edges and are a bigger deal on the map than on the demographics. He holds over in the second most Democratic district till 2014.

House District 61
Registration: D 6392, R 3959, N 6484, total 16842, D +2433
Incumbent: Anesa Kajtazovic, D-Waterloo

Kajtazovic is a good bet to be the first incumbent re-elected here since Democrat Don Shoultz in 2004. He lost to former TV anchor Tami Wiencek in 2006, who in turn lost in the Obama wave to Kerry Burt, who promptly self-destructed.

Kajtazovic was the only Democrat with the nerve to step up and actually challenge Burt, who dropped out after the withdrawal deadline. She beat former Waterloo mayor John Rooff with 59% to immediately earn two lines in the record books: first Bosnian-Iowan in the Legislature and at age 24 the youngest female legislator in state history.

Tea partyish Lyn Tackett lost the 2010 Republican primary to Rooff, and is making a second run.

Kajtazovic keeps roughly the same chunk of southeast Waterloo. The changes help the district's Democratic margin by about 350 registered voters.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Tackett Together, Anesa Kajtazovic for Iowa House Kajtazovic has a solid incumbent $15,548.30 bank account. Tackett has just $699.28 on hand.

House District 62
Registration: D 8295, R 2372, N 6058, total 16732, D +5923
Incumbent: Deborah Berry, D-Waterloo

Berry hasn't had a tough race since her first primary in 2002. No wonder, as Waterloo northeast of the Cedar River is the number two Democratic House district. A 2006 opponent dropped out, then Berry won an easy three to one 2008 primary win against a power plant opponent. No opposition at all in 2010.

Chad Folken is challenging as an independent this year, though he donated $100 to the Black Hawk County GOP as recently as May. Maybe he figures the GOP label is a negative in this seat. I've seen that dynamic here in the People's Republic of Johnson County (home of the number one and three Democratic districts). But when you file as an independent, you give up the Republican straight ticket votes, which even in a district like this add up to something. As an independent, Folken will have to earn each and every vote on his own, and a GOP straight ticket vote will simply skip the race.

July 19 Campaign Finance Report: Berry for Iowa House of Representatives

Senate District 31, House District 61 & 62: District of the Day 1 - 6/06/2011 | District of the Day 2 - 3/16/2012

Friday, March 16, 2012

District Of The Day Reboot: Iowa Senate District 31, Iowa House District 61 & 62

Senate District 31
Registration: D 16811, R 6981, N 14704, total 38516, D +9830
Incumbent: Bill Dotzler, D-Waterloo; holdover seat

An excellent Democratic district gets even better with minor line changes. Dotzler moved over to the Senate in 2002 after three terms in the House and has had easy races, winning with 63% in 2010. He keeps all of Waterloo northeast of the river and a similar chunk of the southeast, along with Elk Run Heights, Evansdale and Raymond. The changes are at the edges and are a bigger deal on the map than on the demographics. Dotzler gives up a couple rural fragments and picks up a couple different townships, Gilbertville and Washburn. With an odd number district, he holds over till 2014.

Campaign finance reports: Citizens to Elect Bill Dotzler

House District 61
Registration: D 7345, R 4340, N 7563, total 19256, D +3005
Incumbent: Anesa Kajtazovic, D-Waterloo

This seat has seen four winners in four election cycles, but Kajtazovic is a good bet to be the first incumbent re-elected here since Democrat Don Shoultz in 2004.

Former TV anchor Tami Wiencek upset longtime legislator Don Shoultz in 2006 for one of the few Republican gains anywhere in the nation that year. Wiencek cut an earnest and moderate profile in her term, but when the chips were down she voted the party line which didn't help in this district. Democrats fought local celebrity with local celebrity, and recruited a seemingly top-tier candidate in former Hawkeye football star Kerry Burt to take the seat back in 2008.

But Burt self-destructed with personal and ethical issues in his first term. Kajtazovic was the only Democrat with the nerve to step up and actually challenge him. When Burt dropped out after the withdrawal deadline, she won a 91% primary victory, which has to be some kind of record against an incumbent.

Republicans who had hoped for an easy gain against a scandalized incumbent were helpless against Kajtazovic, who beat former Waterloo mayor John Rooff with 59% to immediately earn two lines in the record books: first Bosnian-Iowan in the Legislature and at age 24 the youngest female legislator in state history.

Republican candidate Lyn Tackett lost the 2010 GOP primary to Rooff.

Kajtazovic keeps roughly the same chunk of southeast Waterloo. the district grows to the south and east, gaining four rural townships, Gilbertville and Washburn. She sheds Eagle Township south of town. The changes help the district's Democratic margin by about 350 registered voters.

Campaign finance reports: Anesa Kajtazovic for Iowa House

House District 62
Registration: D 9466, R 2641, N 7141, total 19260, D +6825
Incumbent: Deborah Berry, D-Waterloo

Berry, who was then in her first city council term, finished first in the 2002 primary when this seat opened up. But she only won 33%, short of the 35% required. The district then saw two (!) special nominating conventions before Berry finally emerged as the nominee after the second convention.

A 2006 opponent dropped out, then Berry won an easy three to one 2008 primary win against a power plant opponent. No opposition at all in 2010.

The new district keeps its core: all of Waterloo northeast of the Cedar River. Berry picks up about a precinct in town, loses Poyner township, and keeps Elk Run Heights, Evansdale and Raymond. This is the third most Democratic district in the state, behind the two Iowa City seats, and no Republican seems to be up for the challenge.

Campaign finance reports: Berry for Iowa House of Representatives

Original post 6/06/2011 Statewide Map: Front | Back (with City Insets) | Old Senate, House

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Day 2 of Filing

The festival of filing continued today at the Secretary of State's office, with a few more names that I'd somehow missed:

Davenport tea partier Mark Nelson, who was the 2006 Libertarian nominee for lieutenant governor. He's now on the ballot as a Republican in House District 93, a swing seat held by two term Democrat Phyllis Thede.

In another new-to-me filing, Imogene farmer Mark Costello filed in empty House District 23 in the state's southwest corner.

Republican Dean Fisher of Garwin is the first name to surface in Tama-based House District 72, where GOP incumbent Lance Horbach announced his retirement before the map even came out.

Larry Sheets of Moulton filed in House District 80, centered in Monroe County with no incumbent. Democrat Joe Judge is running here.

Bloomfield's James Johnson, last spotted on Team Bachmann, is on the ballot for House 82, now held by Fairfield Democrat Curt Hanson.

Two Republicans who lost 2010 primaries are making another try. Waterloo Republican Lyn Tackett in House District 61 lost to former mayor John Rooff, who in turn lost to Anesa Kajtazovic in November. Home schooler Sandy Salmon filed in Bremer based no-incumbent House 63, where Dems have recruited former senator Bill Heckroth.

In stuff I already expected:

Knoxville Democrat Dick Schrad filed in open Senate District 14, the seat ex-Republican leader Paul McKinley is vacating.

Clive minister Jeff Mullen filed today to challenge GOP incumbent* Pat Ward in Senate District 22. * = Ward moved into the seat to avoid a pair-up with Democrat Matt McCoy. About half of the district was her turf in the old map.

The first of FOUR expected Democrats in Senate District 42, Rich Taylor of Mt. Pleasant, has filed. That's the seat where longtime Democratic incumbent Gene Fraise is retiring.

Dan Zumbach of Ryan is the first Republican in for empty Senate District 48. This seat is also home to failed Battle of Marion Senate candidate Cindy Golding -- will she follow through here? UPDATE: Guess not: at last week's Linn Co GOP meeting Golding announced she was NOT running and backed Zumbach (thanks: Don McDowell) Dems are running Lisbon Rep. Nate Willems.

In House District 8, which had THREE incimbents on Map Day, we have a primary challenger, as minister Bob Dishman files. Dishman's looking to knock off the Republican left in the district, Henry Rayhons.

Tea party-ish Jim Carley filed in Altoona-based House District 30, where conservative crusader Kim Pearson is stepping down after just one term.

Davenport city council member Bill Edmonds (R) filed to challenge Democrat Jim Lykam in House District 93.

Routine incumbent filing was led by Senate GOP leader Jerry Behn in Senate District 24. In not-so-routine incumbent filing, Sioux City freshman Republican Jeremy Taylor filed for House District 13. He's expected to face first-term Democrat Chris Hall in the only two-incumbent House general election matchup.

Other incumbents who stopped by:

  • Republican Randy Feenstra has the reddest seat in the Senate, District 2; went completely unopposed for his first term, both general AND primary, in 2008.

  • Half-term GOP Sen. Joni Ernst won a January 2011 special to replace Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds. Now on significantly changed but still solidly red turf, she filed for a first full term in Senate District 12.

  • Fellow GOP Senator Tim Kapucian is also on significantly changed turf in Senate District 38, except his seat got a lot more Democratic.

  • Safe northwest Republican Chuck Soderberg is in for another term in House District 5

  • Stand your ground: Missouri Valley's Matt Windschitl constitutionally filed for a fourth term in House District 17

  • Osceola freshman Joel Fry for a second term in House District 27

  • Peter Cownie of West Des Moines in House District 42

  • First term Republican Bob Hager filed in Allamakee-Clayton based House 56.

  • Two freshman House Republicans avoid redistricting pair-ups. Guy Vander Linden filed in Pella-Oskaloosa House 79, where Jim Van Engelenhoeven retired. Lee Hein of Monticello moved back into his district, House 96; his house was in House 58 where Brian Moore is staying and running.

  • Dubuque's Pat Murphy, who as then-Speaker got a close call in 2010, is looking for another term in House 99.